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Financials · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $115.01 or above | - | 29.5% | 29.5% | - |
| $120.01 or above | - | 29.2% | 29.2% | - |
| $125.01 or above | - | 24.8% | 24.8% | - |
| $130.01 or above | - | 24% | 24% | - |
| $135.01 or above | - | 21.2% |
| 21.2% |
| - |
| $140.01 or above | - | 19.7% | 19.7% | - |
| $150.01 or above | - | 15.7% | 15.7% | - |
| $160.01 or above | - | 13.5% | 13.5% | - |
| $180.01 or above | - | 11.6% | 11.6% | - |
| $200.01 or above | - | 9% | 9% | - |
Combined open interest
$454k
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
N/A
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
$454k
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
$1.01M
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
$1.01M
Polymarket traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Combined 24h volume
$14.6k
Polymarket 24h traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Polymarket 24h
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
$14.6k
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Rules unavailable in snapshot.
Kalshi resolution
Open venueIf ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $200 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.