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Elections · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | - | 76.5% | 76.5% | - |
| Shenna Bellows | - | 9.5% | 9.5% | - |
| Nirav Shah | - | 7.5% | 7.5% | - |
| Dan Kleban | - | 2.5% | 2.5% | - |
| Jordan Wood | - | 2% | 2% |
| - |
| Aaron Frey | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Chellie Pingree | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Emily Cain | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Jared Golden | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Valli Geiger | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Sara Gideon | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Patrick Dempsey | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| No one | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Mattie Daughtrey | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Janet Mills | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Graham Platner | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Brian Bryant | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
Combined open interest
$272k
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
N/A
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
$272k
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
N/A
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
N/A
Kalshi volume was not captured in this frozen snapshot.
Combined 24h volume
N/A
Kalshi 24h volume was not captured in this frozen snapshot.
Polymarket 24h
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
N/A
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Rules unavailable in snapshot.
Kalshi resolution
Open venueIf Aaron Frey is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Graham Platner withdraws or is replaced as the nominee by the Maine Democratic State Committee, the market will resolve to whichever individual is the Democratic nominee as of July 31, 2026. If Graham Platner withdraws and no replacement nominee has been selected as of July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to "No one." If Graham Platner remains the nominee as of July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to Graham Platner. For purposes of this market, the relevant question is who holds the Democratic nomination as of July 31, 2026, regardless of when that status was first established or reported.