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Elections · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | - | 60.5% | 60.5% | - |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | - | 27.5% | 27.5% | - |
| Renan Santos | - | 6.3% | 6.3% | - |
| Romeu Zema | - | 1.7% | 1.7% | - |
| Jair Bolsonaro | - | 1.7% |
| 1.7% |
| - |
| Ronaldo Caiado | - | 0.9% | 0.9% | - |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | - | 0.8% | 0.8% | - |
| Ciro Gomes | - | 0.5% | 0.5% | - |
| Fernando Haddad | - | 0.3% | 0.3% | - |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | - | 0.2% | 0.2% | - |
| Tarcísio de Freitas | - | 0.2% | 0.2% | - |
| Aldo Rebelo | - | 0.1% | 0.1% | - |
| Ratinho Júnior | - | 0.1% | 0.1% | - |
Combined open interest
$1.29M
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
N/A
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
$1.29M
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
$253k
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
$253k
Polymarket traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Combined 24h volume
$2.47k
Polymarket 24h traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Polymarket 24h
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
$2.47k
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Rules unavailable in snapshot.
Kalshi resolution
Open venueIf Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.