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0xfffa…864b
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
Tilted GamblerGrade Carchetypes-v1
Secondary: Favorite Grinder
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 3.14 and disposition ratio 0.23, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 682.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Favorite Grinder, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:48:25 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$530k
Open PnL
$-89.8k
Max drawdown
$255k
Underwater days
133
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $3.86k | N/A | N/A | $530k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $-5.82k | $39.5k | $600k |
| Win rate | N/A | 56% | 63% | 72% |
| ROI | N/A | -6% | 3% | 3% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.279 | 0.262 | 0.055 |
| Markets | 4 | 21 | 72 | 385 |
| Best day | $3.5k | $3.5k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.39 | 1.58 | 1.69 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $-647 | $681 | $1.6k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $120 | $319 | $464 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.31 | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| Largest win | N/A | $1.57k | $44.6k | $193k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-4.43k | $-20.2k | $-205k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $4.24k | $7.04k | $16.1k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.210 | 0.218 | 0.048 |
| Calmar | 2.070 | 2.070 | 2.070 | 2.070 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 134.0 | 134.0 | 134.0 | 134.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 33% | 26% | 10% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 92% | 60% | 29% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 74% | 38% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 3 | 8 | 33 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 4 | 392 | 2675 | 11454 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 21 | 72 | 385 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 114% | 87% | 43% |
| Avg entry price | 0.912 | 0.882 | 0.476 | 0.763 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.464 | 0.229 | 0.045 | 0.011 |
| Maker share (notional) | 2% | 48% | 46% | 13% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 2.2 | 227.8 | 417.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 1.0 | 207.0 | 76.5 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 13 | 58 | 307 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 33% | 46% | 58% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 67% | 52% | 42% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 57% | 82% | 79% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.1032 | 0.0284 | 0.0693 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1649 | 0.0710 | 0.0983 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.865 | 0.698 | 0.846 | 0.664 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-105 | $2.09k | $606 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 11.9% | 13.3% | 2.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0478 | 0.0478 | 0.0478 | 0.0478 |
| Alpha ($) | $-3.96k | $-3.96k | $-3.96k | $-3.96k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -48.5% | -48.5% | -48.5% | -48.5% |
| Contrarian score | -0.303 | -0.303 | -0.303 | -0.303 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0064 | -0.0064 | -0.0064 | -0.0064 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Favorite Grinder: 66.4%
- Contrarian Fader: 57.2%
- Scalper: 55.8%
- News Sniper: 51.5%