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0xfc0847fe2ea938d6e2624650eb29ef8d8142a137
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 18002 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 9%.
Capital velocity 1.8 and held-to-resolution 68% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:45:49 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $465k |
| Realized PnL | $-964 | $41.2k | $277k | $464k |
| Win rate | 50% | 40% | 53% | 65% |
| ROI | -8% | 9% | 36% | 17% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.456 | 0.199 | 0.150 |
| Markets | 3 | 22 | 170 | 769 |
| Best day | $-0 | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.15 | 2.26 | 4.42 | 4.52 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-241 | $264 | $887 | $336 |
| Median trade PnL | $40 | $-0 | $1 | $16 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.15 | 3.34 | 3.93 | 2.43 |
| Largest win | $89 | $17.8k | $138k | $138k |
| Largest loss | $-1.13k | $-4.99k | $-8.95k | $-10k |
| Expectancy | $-241 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.53k | $47k | $21.5k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.236 | 1.119 | 0.649 |
| Calmar | 19.153 | 19.153 | 19.153 | 19.153 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 86% | 20% | 31% | 19% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 50% | 66% | 40% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 66% | 74% | 46% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 6 | 15 | 19 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 58 | 555 | 3937 | 18002 |
| Unique markets | 3 | 22 | 170 | 769 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 57% | 83% | 96% |
| Avg entry price | 0.718 | 0.645 | 0.411 | 0.450 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.754 | 0.173 | 0.032 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 2% | 8% | 12% | 9% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 14 | 135 | 635 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.21 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.52 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 44% | 44% | 53% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 51% | 48% | 41% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.43 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 40% | 49% | 67% | 68% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0624 | 0.1047 | 0.1388 | 0.1263 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0513 | 0.1347 | 0.1608 | 0.1564 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.477 | 0.895 | 0.823 | 0.707 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-1.2k | $131 | $-89 | $112 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -22.4% | 31.3% | 18.9% | 23.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0800 | 0.0800 | 0.0800 | 0.0800 |
| Alpha ($) | $-57 | $-57 | $-57 | $-57 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -59.4% | -59.4% | -59.4% | -59.4% |
| Contrarian score | 0.103 | 0.103 | 0.103 | 0.103 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0828 | 0.0828 | 0.0828 | 0.0828 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 6.71e-10; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $255k |
| $255k |
| Worst day | $-0 | $-4.1k | $-18.3k | $-18.3k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $264 |
| $887 |
| $336 |
| <0.10 |
| 0% |
| 10% |
| 31% |
| 58% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 33% | 40% | 56% | 11% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 45% | 58% | 57% | 18% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 67% | 55% | 64% | 75% | 49% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 33% | 62% | 79% | 21% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 58.00 | 555.00 | 3937.00 | 18002.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.90 | 0.72 | 1.78 | 1.82 |
| Avg ticket | $378 | $590 | $350 | $284 |
| Median ticket | $43 | $7 | $8 | $20 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -206.20 | -21.05 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.22 |
| 0.66 |
| 0.44 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $477k | 66% | 1315 |
| Soccer | $-10.9k | 60% | 52 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $-4.85k | 0% | 4 |
| MLB | $3.18k | 100% | 1 |
| Military Strikes | $-346 | 0% | 2 |
| Games | $339 | 50% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | $244 | 100% | 3 |
| invitational | $-150 | 0% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc34b1a1… | $138k | $7.85k | 1757.0% |
| 0x81cef42d… | $99k | $15k | 660.8% |
| 0xe1953a0f… | $21.6k | $20.6k | 104.5% |
| 0x32552863… | $17.8k | $44.7k | 39.7% |
| 0x0256ef63… | $10.1k | $2.23k | 451.0% |
| 0x62267588… | $-9.73k | $22.5k | -43.2% |
| 0xcf5e859e… | $-8.95k | $31.3k | -28.6% |
| 0xe86f6cb0… | $-7.87k | $8.61k | -91.4% |
| 0xe72a18c7… | $-6.63k | $8.34k | -79.4% |
| 0xafa5a0ce… | $6.58k | $10.6k | 62.3% |
| 0x8970e536… | $-5.85k | $7.02k | -83.4% |
| 0x4435d57c… | $5.73k | $37.7k | 15.2% |
| 0x117afac5… | $5.13k | $22.3k | 23.0% |
| 0x4b8545ad… | $4.98k | $62.7k | 8.0% |
| 0x20fac1c9… | $-4.96k | $9.39k | -52.8% |
| 736 |
| 736 |
| 736 |
| 736 |