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0xfbd8c9c22ca76b3662d0e53a4f79719fdc684027
Secondary: Favorite Grinder
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 10780 with median hold 2.3 days, maker share only 0%.
Capital velocity 0.1 and held-to-resolution 98% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Favorite Grinder, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:47:53 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.07k | $31.7k | $217k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $31.8k | $53.9k | $71.3k | $71.3k |
| Win rate | 30% | 31% | 25% | 25% |
| ROI | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.504 | 0.443 | 0.381 |
| Markets | 585 | 1040 | 1980 | 1980 |
| Best day | $2.59k | $22.9k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1.71 | 1.37 | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Mean trade PnL | $31 | $35 | $7 | $7 |
| Median trade PnL | $-1 | $-1 | $-2 | $-2 |
| Payoff ratio | 4.03 | 3.06 | 3.39 | 3.39 |
| Largest win | $12.6k | $88.7k | $88.7k | $88.7k |
| Largest loss | $-3.59k | $-25k | $-25k | $-25k |
| Expectancy | $31 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $8.98k | $19.3k | $17.1k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.439 | 3.955 | 2.302 | 0.439 |
| Calmar | 10.142 | 10.142 | 10.142 | 10.142 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 10% | 26% | 8% | 8% |
| Concentration top-5 | 34% | 51% | 28% | 28% |
| Concentration top-10 | 48% | 63% | 44% | 44% |
| Max win streak | 8 | 8 | 12 | 12 |
| Max loss streak | 44 | 44 | 64 | 64 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 1965 | 4312 | 10780 | 10780 |
| Unique markets | 585 | 1040 | 1980 | 1980 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 86% | 90% | 90% |
| Avg entry price | 0.860 | 0.820 | 0.817 | 0.817 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.023 | 0.079 | 0.038 | 0.038 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 6.4 | 11.1 | 72.6 | 72.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 6.9 | 5.0 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Max concurrent | 555 | 952 | 1874 | 1874 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.50 | 2.51 | 2.51 |
| Add-to-winner share | 50% | 49% | 45% | 45% |
| Average-down share | 36% | 35% | 41% | 41% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.17 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 86% | 89% | 98% | 98% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0004 | 0.0005 | 0.0078 | 0.0078 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0010 | 0.0031 | 0.0312 | 0.0312 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.335 | 0.486 | 0.518 | 0.518 |
| Exit quality ($) | $5 | $6 | $8 | $8 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 118.1% | 182.7% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0030 | -0.0030 | -0.0030 | -0.0030 |
| Alpha ($) | $14 | $14 | $14 | $14 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Contrarian score | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.116 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0003 | 0.0003 | 0.0003 | 0.0003 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations | 769 |
| $98.2k |
| $98.2k |
| Worst day | $2.59k | $-1.74k | $-10.7k | $-37.8k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $35 |
| $7 |
| $7 |
| <0.10 |
| 28% |
| 26% |
| 13% |
| 13% |
| 3% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 74% | 70% | 74% | 74% | 1% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 93% | 91% | 95% | 95% | 1% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 88% | 85% | 85% | 85% | 5% |
| >0.90 | 13% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 91% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 1965.00 | 4312.00 | 10780.00 | 10780.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Avg ticket | $37 | $86 | $52 | $52 |
| Median ticket | $11 | $18 | $15 | $15 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -2284.00 | -2284.00 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.51 |
| 0.23 |
| 0.23 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tech | $27.9k | 24% | 117 |
| Politics | $15.7k | 32% | 530 |
| Sports | $15.6k | 33% | 268 |
| Peru | $-15.5k | 0% | 16 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $9.35k | 20% | 384 |
| Soccer | $6.22k | 33% | 407 |
| Wimbledon | $-5.38k | 36% | 222 |
| Maine Midterm | $3.62k | 100% | 4 |
| Weather | $-3.36k | 20% | 5416 |
| Movies | $3.15k | 25% | 154 |
| Climate & Science | $3.12k | 100% | 3 |
| Economy | $2.55k | 38% | 77 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8bf1c153… | $88.7k | $6.35k | 1397.1% |
| 0x106ccc45… | $-30.9k | $62.8k | -49.2% |
| 0x881a3ffa… | $29.4k | $2.38k | 1233.5% |
| 0xd2a472c0… | $28.6k | $2.04k | 1402.4% |
| 0x2a28cc33… | $-25k | $126k | -19.8% |
| 0x3d675f1c… | $-24.9k | $127k | -19.7% |
| 0x4ede078c… | $-24.2k | $127k | -19.1% |
| 0x65307f30… | $22.7k | $2.12k | 1070.4% |
| 0x7412d284… | $-18.7k | $117k | -15.9% |
| 0x6972edb1… | $15.4k | $993 | 1546.4% |
| 0xbce6698c… | $13.5k | $34.1k | 39.7% |
| 0xb5c0abee… | $-13.5k | $121k | -11.1% |
| 0xa4402219… | $12.6k | $20.8k | 60.8% |
| 0xfa021d81… | $9.37k | $2.22k | 421.3% |
| 0xd4e77ba6… | $7.51k | $2.37k | 316.8% |
| 769 |
| 769 |
| 769 |