Loading trader…
0xfaf98181c44636998a194aa7660bcae1b977f4c4
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
100% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (96%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.09).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A tilt warning is also attached: size or pacing after losses looks elevated even though another style won the primary label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:42:34 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $5.64k | N/A | $65.1k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $39 | $177 | $20.6k | $30.6k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 95% | 96% |
| ROI | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.033 | 0.100 | 0.149 |
| Markets | 2 | 13 | 75 | 324 |
| Best day | $7.94k | $7.94k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 11.90 | 2.01 |
| Mean trade PnL | $20 | $18 | $232 | $95 |
| Median trade PnL | $20 | $16 | $18 | $20 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.57 | 0.09 |
| Largest win | $25 | $28 | $4.37k | $5.82k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-1.58k | $-17.6k |
| Expectancy | $20 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $6.46k | $8.17k | $6.17k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.017 | 0.101 | 0.135 |
| Calmar | 1.651 | 1.651 | 1.651 | 1.651 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 13.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 64% | 16% | 18% | 20% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 60% | 62% | 43% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 83% | 59% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 10 | 43 | 134 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 16 | 107 | 962 | 8097 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 13 | 75 | 324 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
| Avg entry price | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.995 | 0.986 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.650 | 0.098 | 0.030 | 0.023 |
| Maker share (notional) | 85% | 48% | 67% | 68% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.7 | 7.1 | 53.4 | 49.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 7 | 28 | 94 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 9993.97 | 18.28 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 100% | 57% | 90% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 43% | 7% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 60% | 38% | 28% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0019 | 0.0059 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0224 | 0.0200 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.734 | 0.872 | 0.926 | 0.825 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-2 | $82 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.1% | 3.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0078 | -0.0078 | -0.0078 | -0.0078 |
| Alpha ($) | $-161 | $-161 | $-161 | $-161 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.256 | -0.256 | -0.256 | -0.256 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0036 | -0.0036 | -0.0036 | -0.0036 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $17.6k |
| $17.6k |
| Worst day | $7.94k | $-12.8k | $-19.4k | $-19.4k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $18 |
| $232 |
| $95 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 100% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 0% | 75% | 0% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 99% | 97% | 100% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 2% |
| Spread capture | 0.0000 | -0.0002 | 0.0021 | 0.0016 |
| Inventory turnover | 16.00 | 107.00 | 962.00 | 8097.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.45 | 1.22 | 0.65 | 1.24 |
| Avg ticket | $1.54k | $1.29k | $793 | $1.5k |
| Median ticket | $193 | $106 | $81 | $71 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -81.70 | -142.31 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| 1.08 |
| 2.44 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Politics | $-10.6k | 97% | 68 |
| Aliens | $9.57k | 100% | 3 |
| Trade War | $7.33k | 100% | 4 |
| NATO | $4.89k | 100% | 3 |
| putin | $3.62k | 100% | 2 |
| Iran | $3.56k | 89% | 28 |
| Culture | $3k | 98% | 121 |
| Tech | $2.68k | 100% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | $2.33k | 92% | 12 |
| xi jinping | $1.69k | 100% | 1 |
| Economy | $1.65k | 100% | 2 |
| Sports | $-1.34k | 83% | 6 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4ba34832… | $-17.3k | $118k | -14.7% |
| 0xcddc048c… | $5.82k | $243k | 2.4% |
| 0xbad704f2… | $4.37k | $95.8k | 4.6% |
| 0x65f204a8… | $4.11k | $613k | 0.7% |
| 0xaa145cf5… | $-3.92k | $179k | -2.2% |
| 0xa7962b12… | $3.73k | $84.2k | 4.4% |
| 0x1a1346d7… | $3.17k | $124k | 2.6% |
| 0xaaacff0f… | $3.16k | $64.8k | 4.9% |
| 0xeeb1b35c… | $2.34k | $87.3k | 2.7% |
| 0x727ee8aa… | $1.69k | $161k | 1.1% |
| 0x5341e90b… | $-1.67k | $43.1k | -3.9% |
| 0x3733a1b6… | $1.61k | $498k | 0.3% |
| 0xeda1af68… | $1.6k | $176k | 0.9% |
| 0xdc34b1a1… | $-1.58k | $1.58k | -100.0% |
| 0xd7540d64… | $-1.48k | $442k | -0.3% |
| 2112 |
| 2112 |
| 2112 |
| 2112 |