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0xf68a…5b1b
0xf68a281980f8c13828e84e147e3822381d6e5b1b
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 50076 with median hold 2.1 hours, maker share only 80%.
Capital velocity 1.0 and held-to-resolution 36% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:44:35 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$484k
Open PnL
$-233k
Max drawdown
$697k
Underwater days
184
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $18.2k | $166k | N/A | $487k |
| Realized PnL | $87.1k | $189k | $78.3k | $105k |
| Win rate | 84% | 68% | 59% | 55% |
| ROI | 63% | 15% | 1% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.586 | 0.026 | 0.029 |
| Markets | 73 | 624 | 1566 | 3321 |
| Best day | $33.8k | $78.5k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 14.64 | 1.69 | 1.04 | 1.02 |
| Mean trade PnL | $2.35k | $478 | $55 | $29 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.02k | $20 | $30 | $16 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.83 | 0.78 | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| Largest win | $11.6k | $20.9k | $25.5k | $53.7k |
| Largest loss | $-4.9k | $-64.1k | $-64.1k | $-64.9k |
| Expectancy | $2.35k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $40k | $42.6k | $31.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.031 | 0.479 | 0.026 | 0.028 |
| Calmar | 0.695 | 0.695 | 0.695 | 0.695 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 183.5 | 183.5 | 183.5 | 183.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 12% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 41% | 24% | 6% | 3% |
| Concentration top-10 | 69% | 34% | 9% | 4% |
| Max win streak | 21 | 24 | 58 | 58 |
| Max loss streak | 4 | 12 | 43 | 43 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 645 | 3938 | 21266 | 50076 |
| Unique markets | 73 | 624 | 1566 | 3321 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 101% |
| Avg entry price | 0.504 | 0.393 | 0.410 | 0.438 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.037 | 0.016 | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 79% | 77% | 88% | 80% |
| Two-sided share | 5% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.4 | 11.9 | 23.3 | 61.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Max concurrent | 24 | 302 | 527 | 1280 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.20 | 31.30 | 0.91 | 0.71 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 53% | 55% | 53% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 23% | 32% | 32% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.49 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 42% | 41% | 29% | 36% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1806 | 0.1358 | 0.1511 | 0.1829 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1944 | 0.1168 | 0.1541 | 0.1817 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.907 | 0.461 | 0.820 | 0.842 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-23 | $-10 | $-3 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 8.4% | 991.4% | 256.8% | 105.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1435 | 0.1435 | 0.1435 | 0.1435 |
| Alpha ($) | $44 | $44 | $44 | $44 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -334.8% | -334.8% | -334.8% | -334.8% |
| Contrarian score | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0071 | 0.0071 | 0.0071 | 0.0071 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 57.5%
- Tilted Gambler: 54.6%
- News Sniper: 52.4%
- Favorite Grinder: 16.3%
- Conviction Holder: 15.9%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 2.24e-48; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x26965edbcc… entry 0.300 timing 0.36
- 0x2318ee0f80… entry 0.100 timing 0.82
- 0x83c1f3a017… entry 0.064
- 0xf9471e9e3e… entry 0.250
- 0xea7da4158d… entry 0.250
- 0xe45b2ec942… entry 0.300
- 0x1b4bade2e4… entry 0.228
- 0xc5fae6a0a3… entry 0.100 timing 0.85
- 0xe008dd2473… entry 0.180
- 0x65683ee510… entry 0.230 timing 0.99
- 0x6e9f90a6f4… entry 0.132 timing 0.92
- 0x47a88a03c3… entry 0.080 timing 0.20
- 0xd50349a2c8… entry 0.240 timing 0.80
- 0x52847ca141… entry 0.016
- 0x0d64df5aa4… entry 0.250
- 0x9ad84532d2… entry 0.231
- 0x79469cd57a… entry 0.280 timing 0.97
- 0xe23195947a… entry 0.250 timing 0.83
- 0x180f33c380… entry 0.250 timing 0.96
- 0x8db82a4634… entry 0.160