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0xf67f…31cf
0xf67f72df65797a85dc9fd44d57adfe5b7b4a31cf
Favorite GrinderGrade BTilt warningarchetypes-v1
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
84% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (87%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.55).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:41:49 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$87k
Open PnL
$-98.7k
Max drawdown
$101k
Underwater days
60
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $95.2k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $2.91k | $95.2k | $173k |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 88% | 87% |
| ROI | N/A | 16% | 17% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.015 | 0.213 | 0.040 |
| Markets | 0 | 8 | 17 | 172 |
| Best day | N/A | $1.07k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | ∞ | 91.87 | 3.72 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $416 | $5.6k | $912 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $379 | $350 | $144 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 12.25 | 0.55 |
| Largest win | N/A | $827 | $85.9k | $85.9k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-1.04k | $-16.5k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $16.5k | $7.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | ∞ | 9.671 | 0.034 |
| Calmar | 0.796 | 0.796 | 0.796 | 0.796 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 61.0 | 61.0 | 61.0 | 61.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 28% | 88% | 29% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 93% | 97% | 48% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 99% | 63% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 8 | 11 | 25 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 2 | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 38 | 345 | 4930 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 8 | 17 | 172 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 75% | 41% | 51% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.865 | 0.959 | 0.920 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 0.187 | 0.432 | 0.024 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 47% | 52% | 66% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 39.6 | 5.3 | 109.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 3.8 | 0.2 | 12.5 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 7 | 10 | 101 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 339.05 | 12.12 | 2.26 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 97% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 2% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 75% | 53% | 57% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0156 | 0.0317 | 0.0181 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0286 | 0.0748 | 0.0881 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.088 | 0.203 | 0.245 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $89 | $48 | $358 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 6.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1349 | 0.1349 | 0.1349 | 0.1349 |
| Alpha ($) | $-18.6k | $-18.6k | $-18.6k | $-18.6k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -139.6% | -139.6% | -139.6% | -139.6% |
| Contrarian score | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0058 | 0.0058 | 0.0058 | 0.0058 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 84.8%
- Tilted Gambler: 82.6%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 54.3%
- Scalper: 45.4%
- Conviction Holder: 30.2%