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0xf65506e2d5f55279d77bd67d3c80af6882ad7ea4
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.70 and disposition ratio 2.85, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 755.5), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:45:26 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $29.8k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.91k | $61.8k | $61.8k | $430k |
| Win rate | 67% | 80% | 80% | 48% |
| ROI | 5% | 27% | 27% | 19% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.324 | 0.159 | 0.068 |
| Markets | 2 | 20 | 22 | 711 |
| Best day | $-920 | $25.9k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 22.82 | 249.35 | 249.35 | 1.90 |
| Mean trade PnL | $637 | $4.12k | $4.12k | $501 |
| Median trade PnL | $431 | $3.17k | $3.17k | $-0 |
| Payoff ratio | 11.41 | 62.34 | 62.34 | 2.09 |
| Largest win | $1.57k | $25k | $25k | $80.2k |
| Largest loss | $-88 | $-110 | $-110 | $-39.7k |
| Expectancy | $637 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $13.1k | $6.25k | $9.18k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.289 | 0.234 | 0.102 |
| Calmar | 5.210 | 5.210 | 5.210 | 5.210 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 54.0 | 54.0 | 54.0 | 54.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 75% | 40% | 40% | 6% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 80% | 80% | 24% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 38% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 5 | 5 | 28 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 3 | 903 | 1076 | 53814 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 20 | 22 | 711 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 117% | 52% | 72% |
| Avg entry price | 0.909 | 0.399 | 0.399 | 0.159 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.980 | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.016 |
| Maker share (notional) | 1% | 99% | 99% | 91% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 314.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 97.3 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 2 | 2 | 304 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.85 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 62% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.00 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 0% | 0% | 41% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0030 | 0.0669 | 0.0669 | 0.1604 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0030 | 0.0518 | 0.0518 | 0.1152 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.386 | 0.723 | 0.723 | 0.746 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-1.43k | $-1.43k | $68 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -5.8% | -5.8% | 23.7% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0157 | 0.0157 | 0.0157 | 0.0157 |
| Alpha ($) | $-49 | $-49 | $-49 | $-49 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 42.5% | 42.5% | 42.5% | 42.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0014 | -0.0014 | -0.0014 | -0.0014 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 2.94e-25; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $25.9k |
| $112k |
| Worst day | $-920 | $-14.7k | $-14.7k | $-66.1k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $4.12k |
| $4.12k |
| $501 |
| <0.10 |
| 0% |
| 50% |
| 50% |
| 23% |
| 5% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 33% | 33% | 39% | 18% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% | 33% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 72% | 29% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 16% |
| 15% |
| 14% |
| 14% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | -0.0119 |
| Inventory turnover | 3.00 | 903.00 | 1076.00 | 53814.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.03 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.24 |
| Avg ticket | $345 | $310 | $260 | $53 |
| Median ticket | $10 | $11 | $6 | $1 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 65.90 | 0.89 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 11.72 |
| 13.95 |
| 2.70 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $239k | 49% | 465 |
| Soccer | $105k | 46% | 24 |
| Olympics | $69k | 100% | 2 |
| MLB | $50.8k | 58% | 52 |
| NCAA | $-33.9k | 24% | 29 |
| patriots | $-20.6k | 50% | 14 |
| Crypto | $16.6k | 83% | 12 |
| NFL Playoffs | $-9.56k | 41% | 29 |
| Politics | $-7.56k | 30% | 10 |
| NFL | $5.64k | 47% | 43 |
| Tennis | $5.32k | 54% | 13 |
| PGA | $4.06k | 100% | 3 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x87254ca3… | $79.8k | $37.9k | 210.7% |
| 0xf01f219b… | $79.7k | $65.3k | 121.9% |
| 0x06b61186… | $65.3k | $54.3k | 120.3% |
| 0x8df5a425… | $64.3k | $102k | 62.9% |
| 0x6e9f90a6… | $43.5k | $96.3k | 45.2% |
| 0x7e0a944a… | $43k | $52k | 82.5% |
| 0x9f297733… | $40.2k | $18.9k | 212.3% |
| 0x51c5e5e7… | $-39.7k | $40.2k | -98.8% |
| 0xcba24842… | $-32.5k | $119k | -27.2% |
| 0x9564148d… | $-29.6k | $29.6k | -100.0% |
| 0x3ca7c5f7… | $-27.8k | $27.8k | -100.0% |
| 0x638fdef9… | $26.2k | $15.5k | 169.8% |
| 0x22e7b5e3… | $25.5k | $24.2k | 105.5% |
| 0x713641f7… | $25k | $24.5k | 101.7% |
| 0x5cc4f3fe… | $20.6k | $10k | 205.9% |
| 8666 |
| 8666 |
| 8666 |
| 8666 |