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0xf5e15d3344c35890f1aa716dca88e13eb9065ad0
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 3.14 and disposition ratio 0.48, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 62.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:42:22 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.35k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-362k | $-359k | $-286k | $116k |
| Win rate | 4% | 5% | 22% | 51% |
| ROI | -92% | -90% | -56% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.081 | 0.042 | 0.036 |
| Markets | 8 | 12 | 69 | 1516 |
| Best day | $4.06k | $4.06k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.24 | 1.05 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-2.83k | $-2.78k | $-1.74k | $74 |
| Median trade PnL | $-2.53k | $-2.51k | $-1.75k | $9 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Largest win | $3.37k | $3.37k | $6.2k | $26.2k |
| Largest loss | $-13.3k | $-13.3k | $-13.3k | $-19.4k |
| Expectancy | $-2.83k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $3.28k | $3.53k | $11.9k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.045 | 0.036 | 0.036 |
| Calmar | 0.580 | 0.580 | 0.580 | 0.580 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 179.5 | 179.5 | 179.5 | 179.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 14% | 14% | 11% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | 23% | 23% | 19% | 4% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 5 | 15 | 79 |
| Max loss streak | 123 | 123 | 123 | 137 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 77 | 82 | 902 | 20258 |
| Unique markets | 8 | 12 | 69 | 1516 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 80% | 69% | 85% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.495 | 0.518 | 0.494 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.167 | 0.101 | 0.021 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 91% | 82% | 77% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 2.6 | 2.9 | 43.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 2.6 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 1 | 20 | 395 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.02 | 0.48 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 46% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 33% |
| Tilt ratio | 8.49 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 9% | 24% | 25% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2620 | 0.2619 | 0.2481 | 0.2276 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2283 | 0.2285 | 0.2263 | 0.2323 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.996 | 0.765 | 0.792 |
| Exit quality ($) | $70 | $69 | $58 | $1 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | -0.4% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0724 | 0.0724 | 0.0724 | 0.0724 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.29k | $-1.29k | $-1.29k | $-1.29k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -47.0% | -47.0% | -47.0% | -47.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.077 | 0.077 | 0.077 | 0.077 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0582 | -0.0582 | -0.0582 | -0.0582 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 4.92e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $10.1k |
| $76.9k |
| Worst day | $4.06k | $-5.88k | $-7.84k | $-41.4k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-2.78k |
| $-1.74k |
| $74 |
| <0.10 |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 18% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 6% | 6% | 12% | 33% | 10% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 3% | 4% | 20% | 52% | 66% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 7% | 7% | 44% | 69% | 23% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 1% |
| 0% |
| 4% |
| 3% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | -0.0019 | 0.0020 |
| Inventory turnover | 77.00 | 82.00 | 902.00 | 20258.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.42 | 1.05 |
| Avg ticket | $275 | $403 | $240 | $273 |
| Median ticket | $26 | $30 | $14 | $14 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -62.30 | -4.71 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5.80 |
| 9.24 |
| 3.14 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $178k | 52% | 1384 |
| NFL Playoffs | $-53.3k | 19% | 16 |
| Olympics | $-9.33k | 0% | 4 |
| Hockey | $7.72k | 100% | 1 |
| Crypto | $-6.92k | 25% | 12 |
| UFC 325 | $-3.14k | 40% | 5 |
| Tennis | $-3.11k | 54% | 68 |
| Formula 1 | $2.72k | 50% | 2 |
| WBC | $2.67k | 100% | 1 |
| Nate Diaz | $2.22k | 100% | 1 |
| Up or Down | $940 | 57% | 23 |
| Price Milestone | $854 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4bb9ff02… | $26.2k | $12.8k | 204.1% |
| 0x4a24b9e9… | $25.2k | $7.04k | 357.4% |
| 0x0dc1e2c1… | $22.6k | $22.5k | 100.3% |
| 0x1232641b… | $20.2k | $27.8k | 72.4% |
| 0x2b57ed98… | $-19.4k | $19.4k | -100.0% |
| 0x80c127ce… | $-18.3k | $18.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x9381b9ce… | $-15.3k | $15.3k | -100.0% |
| 0xbfa2065a… | $13.9k | $20.6k | 67.6% |
| 0xdb80cb22… | $13.9k | $3.28k | 422.4% |
| 0x50d6d3fd… | $13.8k | $19.8k | 69.6% |
| 0x13f7be3d… | $-13.3k | $13.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x1b30bb47… | $-13.1k | $13.1k | -100.0% |
| 0xf6447769… | $13.1k | $6.93k | 188.6% |
| 0xc0b3638a… | $-12.9k | $12.9k | -100.0% |
| 0x20644e4f… | $12.6k | $13.4k | 94.6% |
| 309 |
| 309 |
| 309 |
| 309 |