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0xf588…2b81 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xf588…2b81
0xf588b19afe63e1aba00f125f91e3e3b0fdc62b81
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 97% and two-sided activity is 58%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 4000.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (15%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 16:07:21 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $467k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-324k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 46% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | -4% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.148 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.86 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-32 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-1 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.02 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $24.1k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-27.7k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $5.26k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.208 |
| Calmar | 13.305 | 13.305 | 13.305 | 13.305 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 6% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 38 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 48 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4000 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.551 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.019 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 97% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.1 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 59 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.20 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 80% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 20% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 15% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1725 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1422 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.998 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $18 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 151.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0183 | -0.0183 | -0.0183 | -0.0183 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | -0.097 | -0.097 | -0.097 | -0.097 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0168 | 0.0168 | 0.0168 | 0.0168 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 496 |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0373 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4000.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.04 |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $10 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Esports | $-218k | 34% | 441 |
| Tennis | $-131k | 42% | 952 |
| Sports | $27.7k | 47% | 8569 |
| uncategorized | $-2.48k | 21% | 24 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x17298731… | $-18.3k | $58.6k | -31.3% |
| 0xf3bd6050… | $-15.5k | $85.6k | -18.1% |
| 0x9aa2b755… | $12.6k | $37.4k | 33.8% |
| 0xe1b97d13… | $-12.5k | $42.7k | -29.2% |
| 0x1b2c54e7… | $12.4k | $39k | 31.9% |
| 0xbbdeca24… | $-11.6k | $13.2k | -88.0% |
| 0x92c12d6d… | $11.2k | $6.96k | 160.6% |
| 0xa16e4e58… | $-11k | $15.5k | -71.2% |
| 0x02916fec… | $10.4k | $6.47k | 160.4% |
| 0x18f7e7d9… | $10.3k | $11k | 93.6% |
| 0x45efdde3… | $-9.82k | $19k | -51.5% |
| 0xdd4d2dbf… | $9.72k | $62.4k | 15.6% |
| 0xebbb065f… | $9.56k | $6.44k | 148.4% |
| 0xe6b35ac1… | $-9.38k | $15.2k | -61.6% |
| 0x2dda59de… | $9.37k | $34k | 27.6% |