Loading trader…
0xf496…fe79
0xf49614e63fb15383d4a9b717a1be03ad2410fe79
Tilted GamblerGrade Carchetypes-v1
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 0.88 and disposition ratio 6.16, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 11.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:34:38 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$32.4k
Open PnL
$-32.1k
Max drawdown
$7.72k
Underwater days
5
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $24.3k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $5.65k | $41.3k | $63.7k | $63.7k |
| Win rate | 83% | 84% | 75% | 75% |
| ROI | 40% | 96% | 70% | 70% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.488 | 0.375 | 0.375 |
| Markets | 9 | 41 | 76 | 76 |
| Best day | $204 | $17.5k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 208.32 | 112.49 | 5.85 | 5.85 |
| Mean trade PnL | $942 | $1.65k | $1.16k | $1.16k |
| Median trade PnL | $705 | $1.06k | $671 | $671 |
| Payoff ratio | 41.66 | 21.43 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Largest win | $2.65k | $13.9k | $13.9k | $13.9k |
| Largest loss | $-27 | $-335 | $-3.01k | $-3.01k |
| Expectancy | $942 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $7.02k | $6.03k | $6.03k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 1.007 | 0.532 | 0.532 |
| Calmar | 4.394 | 4.394 | 4.394 | 4.394 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 46% | 33% | 15% | 15% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 63% | 45% | 45% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 85% | 63% | 63% |
| Max win streak | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 105 | 557 | 1244 | 1244 |
| Unique markets | 9 | 41 | 76 | 76 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 81% | 81% |
| Avg entry price | 0.606 | 0.247 | 0.258 | 0.258 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.174 | 0.062 | 0.027 | 0.027 |
| Maker share (notional) | 42% | 49% | 55% | 55% |
| Two-sided share | 11% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 6 | 24 | 46 | 46 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.63 | 3.14 | 6.16 | 6.16 |
| Add-to-winner share | 40% | 48% | 55% | 55% |
| Average-down share | 60% | 46% | 40% | 40% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.21 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 63% | 59% | 59% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1525 | 0.2200 | 0.1978 | 0.1978 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1991 | 0.2726 | 0.2199 | 0.2199 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.867 | 0.757 | 0.837 | 0.837 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-449 | $-230 | $-112 | $-112 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -48.2% | -33.1% | -19.5% | -19.5% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0091 | 0.0091 | 0.0091 | 0.0091 |
| Alpha ($) | $-84 | $-84 | $-84 | $-84 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 375.6% | 375.6% | 375.6% | 375.6% |
| Contrarian score | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0025 | -0.0025 | -0.0025 | -0.0025 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 60.0%
- News Sniper: 59.0%
- Scalper: 56.7%
- Contrarian Fader: 29.2%
- Conviction Holder: 24.6%