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0xf45748cb936c2581511deb893a43a9bb029aac4e
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
69% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (85%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.19).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:34:38 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.43k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.43k | $1.52k | $4.73k | $565 |
| Win rate | 100% | 73% | 89% | 85% |
| ROI | 213% | 28% | 13% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.354 | 0.176 | 0.008 |
| Markets | 3 | 20 | 41 | 51 |
| Best day | $1.32k | $1.32k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 19.58 | 58.89 | 1.06 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.43k | $101 | $128 | $12 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.43k | $1 | $0 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 7.12 | 7.14 | 0.19 |
| Largest win | $1.43k | $1.43k | $3.19k | $3.19k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-52 | $-52 | $-7.79k |
| Expectancy | $1.43k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $512 | $246 | $1.06k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.750 | 0.253 | 0.003 |
| Calmar | 0.053 | 0.053 | 0.053 | 0.053 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 85% | 65% | 43% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 99% | 99% | 93% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 8 | 24 | 24 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 6 | 40 | 68 | 208 |
| Unique markets | 3 | 20 | 41 | 51 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 45% | 49% |
| Avg entry price | 0.953 | 0.855 | 0.930 | 0.119 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.636 | 0.130 | 0.070 | 0.128 |
| Maker share (notional) | 91% | 35% | 25% | 17% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 19.4 | 17.4 | 20.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 16 | 35 | 43 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.85 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 90% | 90% | 62% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 10% | 10% | 38% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 75% | 84% | 80% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0022 | 0.0014 | 0.0471 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0156 | 0.0059 | 0.0121 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.998 | 0.618 | 0.637 | 0.632 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $1 | $66 | $-249 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 6.8% | 2.9% | 12.6% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0612 | -0.0612 | -0.0612 | -0.0612 |
| Alpha ($) | $-393 | $-393 | $-393 | $-393 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -5.4% | -5.4% | -5.4% | -5.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.027 | -0.027 | -0.027 | -0.027 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0595 | -0.0595 | -0.0595 | -0.0595 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $1.32k |
| $2.4k |
| Worst day | $1.32k | $-242 | $-242 | $-5.54k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $101 |
| $128 |
| $12 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 33% |
| 4% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 1% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% | 15% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 11% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 69% |
| 5% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | -0.6452 | -0.1743 | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 6.00 | 40.00 | 68.00 | 208.00 |
| Capital velocity | 5.28 | 1.76 | 0.63 | 1.50 |
| Avg ticket | $590 | $242 | $337 | $458 |
| Median ticket | $326 | $48 | $111 | $56 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 2.20 | -16.74 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.16 |
| 0.84 |
| 0.65 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Iran | $-2.54k | 80% | 5 |
| Politics | $1.58k | 94% | 16 |
| FIFA | $1.43k | 100% | 2 |
| Trump | $55 | 86% | 7 |
| Football Culture | $13 | 33% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | $12 | 100% | 1 |
| Esports | $6 | 100% | 1 |
| Sports | $2 | 100% | 3 |
| Elections | $2 | 100% | 3 |
| IPO | $1 | 100% | 1 |
| TikTok | $1 | 100% | 1 |
| Big Tech | $0 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x46dd571d… | $-7.79k | $9.34k | -83.4% |
| 0xfa409322… | $3.19k | $17.7k | 18.0% |
| 0x876047c0… | $2.44k | $6.68k | 36.5% |
| 0xd86a8160… | $2.06k | $6.18k | 33.3% |
| 0x6eb6c9e5… | $1.43k | $670 | 213.1% |
| 0x676e7cda… | $-858 | $2.21k | -38.8% |
| 0x0d9d760f… | $95 | $94 | 101.8% |
| 0x155a2e92… | $73 | $650 | 11.3% |
| 0xbc88a1fd… | $-52 | $69 | -74.9% |
| 0x118aae51… | $-22 | $1.22k | -1.8% |
| 0x01650214… | $-21 | $24 | -87.1% |
| 0x865303cc… | $12 | $2.36k | 0.5% |
| 0xd94b679b… | $-7 | $19 | -36.6% |
| 0xe4e7d488… | $6 | $2.79k | 0.2% |
| 0xb0e4524b… | $3 | $2.79k | 0.1% |
| 167 |
| 167 |
| 167 |
| 167 |