0xf3ce…a57a

0xf3ce7f04dde4f8c5aed19a20e5ecd8520e5ca57a

ScalperGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 1816 with median hold 3.1 hours, maker share only 0%.

Capital velocity 1.6 and held-to-resolution 95% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 15:36:28 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$194k

Open PnL

$-562k

Max drawdown

$67.3k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$50.7k	$84.3k	N/A
Realized PnL	$0	$64.8k	$335k	∞
Win rate	N/A	83%	97%	96%
ROI	N/A	72%	56%	67%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.979	0.307	0.169
Markets	4	23	194	1233
Best day	N/A	$19k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	3067.20	11147.51	5333.04
Mean trade PnL	N/A	$5.4k	$3.19k	$1.4k
Median trade PnL	N/A	$6.19k	$3.14k	$483
Payoff ratio	N/A	613.44	327.87	241.38
Largest win	N/A	$9.47k	$9.47k	$9.47k
Largest loss	N/A	$-14	$-14	$-63
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	$10.4k	$6.9k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	11.357	0.383	0.172
Calmar	2.877	2.877	2.877	2.877
Drawdown duration (days)	51.0	51.0	51.0	51.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	15%	3%	1%
Concentration top-5	N/A	61%	13%	4%
Concentration top-10	N/A	100%	22%	8%
Max win streak	2	10	69	432
Max loss streak	1	1	1	3

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	4	29	443	1816
Unique markets	4	23	194	1233
Active days ratio	200%	100%	100%	93%
Avg entry price	0.438	0.531	0.574	0.555
Portfolio HHI	0.321	0.062	0.009	0.002
Maker share (notional)	0%	0%	0%	0%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	2.7	2.6	2.9	3.3
Holding time median (h)	2.7	2.8	2.8	3.1
Max concurrent	4	22	193	1169
Disposition ratio	N/A	1.11	0.98	1.01
Add-to-winner share	N/A	67%	71%	72%
Average-down share	N/A	33%	29%	26%
Tilt ratio	0.90

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	100%	90%	98%	95%
Brier (weighted)	0.2452	0.1488	0.1251	0.1548
Brier (unweighted)	0.2248	0.2258	0.1790	0.2043
Entry timing mean	0.815	0.839	0.811	0.790
Exit quality ($)	$-52	$2	$-26	$-9
Exit quality ROI gap	-26.2%	0.8%	1.5%	0.7%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0179	0.0179	0.0179	0.0179
Alpha ($)	$-0	$-0	$-0	$-0
Alpha ROI gap	-12.6%	-12.6%	-12.6%	-12.6%
Contrarian score	-0.351	-0.351	-0.351	-0.351
Post-fill drift	0.0179	0.0179	0.0179	0.0179
Post-fill candles (mean)	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 67.3%
News Sniper: 50.1%
Contrarian Fader: 42.9%
Conviction Holder: 38.1%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.91e-14; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x26ed9c1dc4… entry 0.250 timing 0.64
0xd819119a07… entry 0.213 timing 0.78
0x5264e6b548… entry 0.291 timing 0.88
0xc6ca1ee20e… entry 0.287 timing 0.88
0x3d3428c4dc… entry 0.300 timing 0.86
0x06e33e5c33… entry 0.240 timing 0.81
0x9ad15fe1bb… entry 0.252 timing 0.78
0x2db3e855f8… entry 0.298 timing 0.92
0xaae58e10fe… entry 0.240 timing 0.94
0xc34f473589… entry 0.224 timing 0.70
0x277793e96d… entry 0.300 timing 0.84
0x5fb7e93139… entry 0.300 timing 0.75
0x5984babd66… entry 0.280 timing 0.79
0x8b247b01e1… entry 0.300 timing 0.91
0xfca5729850… entry 0.220 timing 0.79
0x26f2e0bbd4… entry 0.290 timing 0.86

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0xf3ce…a57a

0xf3ce7f04dde4f8c5aed19a20e5ecd8520e5ca57a

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 1816 with median hold 3.1 hours, maker share only 0%.

Capital velocity 1.6 and held-to-resolution 95% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$50.7k

$84.3k

N/A

Realized PnL

$64.8k

$335k

∞

Win rate

N/A

83%

97%

96%

ROI

N/A

72%

56%

67%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.979

0.307

0.169

Markets

194

1233

Best day

N/A

$19k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

3067.20

11147.51

5333.04

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$5.4k

$3.19k

$1.4k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$6.19k

$3.14k

$483

Payoff ratio

N/A

613.44

327.87

241.38

Largest win

N/A

$9.47k

Largest loss

N/A

$-14

$-63

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$10.4k

$6.9k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

11.357

0.383

0.172

Calmar

2.877

Drawdown duration (days)

51.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

15%

Concentration top-5

N/A

61%

13%

Concentration top-10

N/A

100%

22%

Max win streak

432

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

443

1816

Unique markets

194

1233

Active days ratio

200%

100%

93%

Avg entry price

0.438

0.531

0.574

0.555

Portfolio HHI

0.321

0.062

0.009

0.002

Maker share (notional)

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

2.7

2.6

2.9

3.3

Holding time median (h)

2.7

2.8

3.1

Max concurrent

193

1169

Disposition ratio

N/A

1.11

0.98

1.01

Add-to-winner share

N/A

67%

71%

72%

Average-down share

N/A

33%

29%

26%

Tilt ratio

0.90

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

100%

90%

98%

95%

Brier (weighted)

0.2452

0.1488

0.1251

0.1548

Brier (unweighted)

0.2248

0.2258

0.1790

0.2043

Entry timing mean

0.815

0.839

0.811

0.790

Exit quality ($)

$-52

$-26

$-9

Exit quality ROI gap

-26.2%

0.8%

1.5%

0.7%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0179

Alpha ($)

$-0

Alpha ROI gap

-12.6%

Contrarian score

-0.351

Post-fill drift

0.0179

Post-fill candles (mean)

3.3

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 67.3%

News Sniper: 50.1%

Contrarian Fader: 42.9%

Conviction Holder: 38.1%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.91e-14; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x26ed9c1dc4… entry 0.250 timing 0.64
0xd819119a07… entry 0.213 timing 0.78
0x5264e6b548… entry 0.291 timing 0.88
0xc6ca1ee20e… entry 0.287 timing 0.88
0x3d3428c4dc… entry 0.300 timing 0.86
0x06e33e5c33… entry 0.240 timing 0.81
0x9ad15fe1bb… entry 0.252 timing 0.78
0x2db3e855f8… entry 0.298 timing 0.92
0xaae58e10fe… entry 0.240 timing 0.94
0xc34f473589… entry 0.224 timing 0.70
0x277793e96d… entry 0.300 timing 0.84
0x5fb7e93139… entry 0.300 timing 0.75
0x5984babd66… entry 0.280 timing 0.79
0x8b247b01e1… entry 0.300 timing 0.91
0xfca5729850… entry 0.220 timing 0.79
0x26f2e0bbd4… entry 0.290 timing 0.86

Esports	$1.04M	96%	737
uncategorized	$479	100%	2

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x7446c13b…	$9.46k	$6.78k	139.5%
0xd412798c…	$8.75k	$5.65k	154.9%
0xb9adc593…	$8.72k	$6.47k	134.7%
0x0cd083d5…	$8.6k	$4.23k	203.0%
0xb2edf42e…	$8.4k	$8.38k	100.3%
0x15dafdce…	$7.92k	$4.39k	180.5%
0xa9a034cc…	$7.8k	$5.87k	132.9%
0xc6ca1ee2…	$7.62k	$3.07k	248.3%
0x1d1eee12…	$6.98k	$6.19k	112.8%
0x17f3a43d…	$6.93k	$3.08k	224.8%
0xea6c7cad…	$6.85k	$3.35k	204.6%
0x95fdafea…	$6.84k	$4.83k	141.5%
0x1e8ed212…	$6.55k	$9.76k	67.1%
0xc1861508…	$6.5k	$6.76k	96.1%
0x23a71fc0…	$6.48k	$9.67k	67.0%

0xf3ce…a57a

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xf3ce…a57a

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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