This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
55% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (64%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.87).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:33:02 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$299k
Open PnL
$-921
Max drawdown
$23.9k
Underwater days
220
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
PnL (leaderboard)
N/A
N/A
$187k
N/A
Realized PnL
$0
$397
$-995
$106k
Win rate
N/A
50%
59%
64%
ROI
N/A
15%
-2%
5%
Sharpe (daily)
N/A
-0.481
0.175
0.064
Markets
1
12
48
215
Best day
$-9
$524
Performance
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Profit factor
N/A
249.43
0.82
1.52
Mean trade PnL
N/A
$199
$-24
$47
Median trade PnL
N/A
$199
$21
$5
Payoff ratio
N/A
249.43
0.58
0.87
Largest win
N/A
$399
$1.56k
$17k
Largest loss
N/A
$-2
$-1.9k
$-14.5k
Expectancy
N/A
Risk
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
PnL volatility
N/A
$3.39k
$34.8k
$7.98k
Sortino (daily)
0.410
-0.390
2.803
0.323
Calmar
12.786
12.786
12.786
12.786
Drawdown duration (days)
221.0
221.0
221.0
221.0
Consistency
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Concentration top-1
N/A
100%
19%
3%
Concentration top-5
N/A
100%
57%
11%
Concentration top-10
N/A
100%
80%
17%
Max win streak
N/A
1
9
35
Max loss streak
N/A
1
6
13
Odds bucket
24h win rate
7d win rate
30d win rate
All-time win rate
Notional (all)
Activity
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Trade count
1
71
479
4000
Unique markets
1
12
48
215
Active days ratio
100%
86%
93%
95%
Avg entry price
N/A
0.494
0.460
0.371
Portfolio HHI
1.000
0.753
0.102
0.020
Maker share (notional)
100%
32%
62%
63%
Two-sided share
0%
Behavior
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Holding time avg (h)
N/A
32.8
67.6
267.6
Holding time median (h)
N/A
25.5
29.7
79.2
Max concurrent
N/A
6
34
172
Disposition ratio
N/A
0.02
0.48
0.47
Add-to-winner share
N/A
4%
80%
52%
Average-down share
N/A
72%
11%
41%
Tilt ratio
N/A
Markets / calibration
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Held to resolution
N/A
67%
73%
81%
Brier (weighted)
N/A
0.2803
0.0748
0.0608
Brier (unweighted)
N/A
0.2803
0.0809
0.1028
Entry timing mean
N/A
0.602
0.564
0.570
Exit quality ($)
N/A
$88
$273
$28
Exit quality ROI gap
N/A
98.2%
35.8%
33.5%
Style
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
CLV mean
0.0180
0.0180
0.0180
0.0180
Alpha ($)
$-61
$-61
$-61
$-61
Alpha ROI gap
20.1%
20.1%
20.1%
20.1%
Contrarian score
0.233
0.233
0.233
0.233
Post-fill drift
-0.0102
-0.0102
-0.0102
-0.0102
Post-fill candles (mean)
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
Post-fill observations
Archetype scores
Favorite Grinder: 53.0%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 42.5%
Conviction Holder: 40.5%
Scalper: 34.6%
Tilted Gambler: 31.8%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
