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0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665
Favorite GrinderGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
70% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (88%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.60).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:32:55 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$92k
Open PnL
$-484k
Max drawdown
$37.5k
Underwater days
39
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.14k | N/A | $42.5k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $7 | $2.29k | $17.1k | $370k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 95% | 88% |
| ROI | 0% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.020 | 0.161 | 0.103 |
| Markets | 5 | 65 | 313 | 626 |
| Best day | $1.29k | $3.43k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 1.83 | 4.32 |
| Mean trade PnL | $2 | $40 | $57 | $399 |
| Median trade PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.09 | 0.60 |
| Largest win | $7 | $663 | $19k | $254k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-4.8k | $-14.2k |
| Expectancy | $2 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.42k | $5.49k | $7.72k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.152 | 0.116 |
| Calmar | 2.450 | 2.450 | 2.450 | 2.450 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 94% | 29% | 36% | 43% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 89% | 69% | 63% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 97% | 83% | 71% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 57 | 128 | 128 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 2 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 16 | 211 | 1358 | 4000 |
| Unique markets | 5 | 65 | 313 | 626 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 102% |
| Avg entry price | 0.958 | 0.946 | 0.639 | 0.672 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.597 | 0.074 | 0.031 | 0.016 |
| Maker share (notional) | 51% | 24% | 16% | 16% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.4 | 9.9 | 51.5 | 41.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.4 | 3.0 | 19.7 | 6.0 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 61 | 294 | 557 |
| Disposition ratio | 7.86 | 0.49 | 0.60 | 1.16 |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 67% | 72% | 69% |
| Average-down share | 100% | 26% | 26% | 28% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 98% | 93% | 87% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0000 | 0.0038 | 0.0970 | 0.0591 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0179 | 0.0055 | 0.0204 | 0.0315 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.954 | 0.631 | 0.624 | 0.584 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-1 | $227 | $0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.1% | 0.7% | 18.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0490 | 0.0490 | 0.0490 | 0.0490 |
| Alpha ($) | $135 | $135 | $135 | $135 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -41.5% | -41.5% | -41.5% | -41.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.029 | 0.029 | 0.029 | 0.029 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0080 | 0.0080 | 0.0080 | 0.0080 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 84.6%
- Scalper: 63.7%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 43.4%
- Tilted Gambler: 39.7%
- Conviction Holder: 37.1%