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0xef26…05ba
0xef2684030d14a67c2a30a3e4fc00eed7a99505ba
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 27926 with median hold 0.2 hours, maker share only 41%.
Capital velocity 3.0 and held-to-resolution 59% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:29:54 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-82.3k
Open PnL
$-445k
Max drawdown
$251k
Underwater days
156
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $7.14k | $55.7k | $49.5k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $56.2k | $95.5k | $149k | $1.52M |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 94% | 79% |
| ROI | 150% | 165% | 147% | 84% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.396 | 0.115 | -0.047 |
| Markets | 10 | 50 | 148 | 1847 |
| Best day | $18 | $43.5k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 643.24 | 5.90 |
| Mean trade PnL | $5.11k | $4.15k | $2.29k | $1.69k |
| Median trade PnL | $4.52k | $2.53k | $1.17k | $1.52k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 42.88 | 1.62 |
| Largest win | $12.6k | $15.7k | $15.7k | $15.7k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-112 | $-8.08k |
| Expectancy | $5.11k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $17.5k | $8.85k | $8.88k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.854 | 0.354 | -0.049 |
| Calmar | -0.353 | -0.353 | -0.353 | -0.353 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 155.5 | 155.5 | 155.5 | 155.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 22% | 16% | 11% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 77% | 57% | 36% | 3% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 79% | 55% | 6% |
| Max win streak | 11 | 23 | 24 | 50 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 44 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 90 | 735 | 1537 | 27926 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 50 | 148 | 1847 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 86% | 87% | 76% |
| Avg entry price | 0.469 | 0.403 | 0.312 | 0.357 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.131 | 0.036 | 0.014 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | 58% | 49% | 36% | 41% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Max concurrent | 4 | 18 | 90 | 1114 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.26 | 1.93 | 1.60 | 0.41 |
| Add-to-winner share | 33% | 78% | 44% | 54% |
| Average-down share | 33% | 18% | 44% | 39% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 36% | 62% | 59% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.3941 | 0.3980 | 0.3517 | 0.2855 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3953 | 0.3818 | 0.3386 | 0.2829 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.835 | 0.832 | 0.775 | 0.863 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-472 | $-235 | $-129 | $-81 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -23.7% | -11.1% | -6.3% | -3.1% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0185 | -0.0185 | -0.0185 | -0.0185 |
| Alpha ($) | $-625 | $-625 | $-625 | $-625 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.149 | 0.149 | 0.149 | 0.149 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0189 | -0.0189 | -0.0189 | -0.0189 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 70.6%
- News Sniper: 62.8%
- Tilted Gambler: 53.9%
- Conviction Holder: 24.0%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 21.8%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 5.59e-6; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xae9433e408… entry 0.252
- 0xf4b43b7041… entry 0.189 timing 0.82
- 0x89f2589787… entry 0.290 timing 0.94
- 0x161b50c0f6… entry 0.158 timing 0.96
- 0x82be6aaef9… entry 0.249
- 0x5f7dfcc88c… entry 0.165 timing 0.96