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0xec8f…8df8 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xec8f…8df8
0xec8f31976d2a3260a42944cd5498c577162f8df8
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 46969 with median hold 1.1 hours, maker share only 50%.
Capital velocity 0.7 and held-to-resolution 69% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 16:07:20 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $62.9k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $15 | $10.4k | $-108k | $612k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 80% | 51% |
| ROI | 24% | 20% | -9% | 11% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.374 | 0.394 | 0.296 |
| Markets | 2 | 14 | 247 | 967 |
| Best day | $-2 | $5.38k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 0.75 | 1.35 |
| Mean trade PnL | $15 | $1.3k | $-611 | $110 |
| Median trade PnL | $15 | $676 | $417 | $3 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.18 | 1.30 |
| Largest win | $15 | $3.18k | $31.5k | $271k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-279k | $-279k |
| Expectancy | $15 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.04k | $7.47k | $7.26k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 17.378 | 0.646 | 0.596 |
| Calmar | 18.379 | 18.379 | 18.379 | 18.379 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 32.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 31% | 37% | 13% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 98% | 51% | 20% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 58% | 25% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 8 | 22 | 22 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 5 | 9 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 52 | 83 | 2634 | 46969 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 14 | 247 | 967 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 40% | 83% | 69% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.610 | 0.144 | 0.107 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.500 | 0.173 | 0.013 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 0% | 5% | 50% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 1.3 | 164.4 | 81.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 1.7 | 220.6 | 1.1 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 12 | 193 | 731 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 2.28 | 0.01 | 0.39 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 75% | 33% | 49% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 25% | 52% | 48% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 86% | 79% | 69% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0374 | 0.0292 | 0.1068 | 0.1463 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0374 | 0.0244 | 0.0939 | 0.1701 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.922 | 0.945 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $-0 | $701 | $76 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | -0.0% | 7.5% | 0.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0530 | 0.0530 | 0.0530 | 0.0530 |
| Alpha ($) | $26 | $26 | $26 | $26 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.062 | -0.062 | -0.062 | -0.062 |
| Post-fill drift | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill observations | N/A |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 59.0%
- News Sniper: 58.1%
- Contrarian Fader: 38.2%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.0%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 27.2%
| Worst day | $-2 | $-44 | $-12.3k | $-12.3k |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 90% | 37% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0253 |
| Inventory turnover | 52.00 | 83.00 | 2634.00 | 46969.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -388.80 | -440.48 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $343k | 79% | 220 |
| Bitcoin | $230k | 59% | 529 |
| Crypto | $25.2k | 50% | 82 |
| Ethereum | $10.5k | 51% | 221 |
| uncategorized | $1.67k | 48% | 69 |
| Up or Down | $894 | 49% | 4430 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x9b6fef24… | $88k | $9.33k | 943.2% |
| 0x375409bc… | $52.4k | $9.33k | 561.0% |
| 0x4f3421fb… | $43.6k | $9.33k | 467.4% |
| 0x30d55d81… | $31.5k | $9.33k | 337.4% |
| 0x16e28fd6… | $25.5k | $25.4k | 100.3% |
| 0x0ea55d01… | $22.1k | $37.6k | 58.7% |
| 0x1595b481… | $21.5k | $9.33k | 230.3% |
| 0x0ff9ba7c… | $17.2k | $19.1k | 90.2% |
| 0x9be56371… | $15.8k | $9.33k | 168.8% |
| 0x0e2bb20c… | $11.6k | $6.69k | 173.0% |
| 0x97d575b7… | $11.1k | $17.4k | 63.9% |
| 0xe2e3e289… | $10.7k | $16.4k | 65.5% |
| 0x6257ac3b… | $10.5k | $37.9k | 27.8% |
| 0xab8c3f9c… | $9.84k | $31k | 31.8% |
| 0x8229fcaf… | $9.83k | $6.87k | 143.0% |