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0xeb6f…25f0
0xeb6f0a13ea8c5a7a0514c25495adbe815c1025f0
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
92% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (75%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.80).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:14:49 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$172k
Open PnL
$5.37k
Max drawdown
$33.8k
Underwater days
235
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $25.6k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $39.5k | $19.3k | $172k |
| Win rate | N/A | 83% | 33% | 75% |
| ROI | N/A | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.361 | 0.260 | 0.066 |
| Markets | 9 | 24 | 62 | 179 |
| Best day | $-402 | $25.9k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 23.46 | 1.70 | 2.39 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $3.29k | $192 | $119 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $89 | $-7 | $8 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 4.69 | 3.45 | 0.80 |
| Largest win | N/A | $36.1k | $36.1k | $36.1k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-1.28k | $-4.6k | $-20.2k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $10.4k | $6.46k | $2.2k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.759 | 0.477 | 0.059 |
| Calmar | 2.570 | 2.570 | 2.570 | 2.570 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 236.0 | 236.0 | 236.0 | 236.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 84% | 49% | 9% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 99% | 73% | 24% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 84% | 34% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 5 | 6 | 50 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 33 | 33 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 55 | 811 | 2586 | 7978 |
| Unique markets | 9 | 24 | 62 | 179 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 88% |
| Avg entry price | 0.628 | 0.549 | 0.432 | 0.325 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.225 | 0.472 | 0.425 | 0.224 |
| Maker share (notional) | 75% | 36% | 52% | 52% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.3 | 39.8 | 62.1 | 277.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.3 | 29.0 | 28.8 | 79.2 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 13 | 46 | 128 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.50 | 0.76 | 0.61 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 52% | 66% | 50% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 42% | 31% | 43% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 73% | 74% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0484 | 0.0082 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.1457 | 0.0703 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.957 | 0.773 | 0.740 | 0.702 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $587 | $30 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | 4.6% | 11.5% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0150 | -0.0150 | -0.0150 | -0.0150 |
| Alpha ($) | $-292 | $-292 | $-292 | $-292 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.102 | 0.102 | 0.102 | 0.102 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0044 | -0.0044 | -0.0044 | -0.0044 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 73.7%
- Tilted Gambler: 62.5%
- Conviction Holder: 45.3%
- Scalper: 39.6%
- Contrarian Fader: 35.3%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 1.02e-103; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x37a6de1b21… entry 0.024 timing 0.95
- 0x0de7d3a8cb… entry 0.004
- 0xf31042a7e0… entry 0.100
- 0x7cb525e831… entry 0.019 timing 0.58
- 0xd6c49a9494… entry 0.003
- 0x967db3f7a2… entry 0.017
- 0x257b18205f… entry 0.025
- 0x561cd8d035… entry 0.150
- 0xd8b94a7924… entry 0.100
- 0x346e8afb46… entry 0.002
- 0x909659c943… entry 0.052
- 0xa846b7f3dc… entry 0.136 timing 0.31
- 0x4567b275e6… entry 0.190
- 0xb232c91577… entry 0.005
- 0x1781508123… entry 0.005
- 0x632d9c1f76… entry 0.034
- 0x796e791e70… entry 0.035
- 0xf95ae2ef0b… entry 0.029
- 0xda8ebb9d79… entry 0.003
- 0xc40cbb2d7f… entry 0.055