0xe8c20fd0542de42dd53682c2d3bb58717b093048
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 5284 with median hold 17.1 hours, maker share only 85%.
Capital velocity 1.1 and held-to-resolution 17% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:08:33 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $23.8k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $25.8k | $183k | $415k |
| Win rate | N/A | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| ROI | N/A | 50% | 62% | 76% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.419 | -0.027 | 0.031 |
| Markets | 4 | 9 | 166 | 225 |
| Best day | $11 | $21.4k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 7.72 | 9.19 | 19.59 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $2.58k | $1.71k | $2.38k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $940 | $1.05k | $1.05k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 1.93 | 1.55 | 1.88 |
| Largest win | N/A | $19.6k | $40.8k | $40.8k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-3.83k | $-4.44k | $-4.44k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $8.1k | $14.8k | $7.14k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 3.241 | -0.034 | 0.035 |
| Calmar | 0.596 | 0.596 | 0.596 | 0.596 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 22.5 | 22.5 | 22.5 | 22.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 59% | 18% | 9% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 97% | 42% | 25% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 53% | 40% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 3 | 17 | 76 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 92 | 109 | 3504 | 5284 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 9 | 166 | 225 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 93% | 89% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.491 | 0.237 | 0.140 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.702 | 0.554 | 0.023 | 0.018 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 100% | 83% | 85% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 1.5 | 38.6 | 66.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 1.5 | 17.1 | 17.1 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 1 | 29 | 42 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 55% | 52% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 36% | 43% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 0% | 16% | 17% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.1569 | 0.2041 | 0.2124 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1706 | 0.2156 | 0.2238 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.978 | 0.806 | 0.784 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $386 | $-17 | $-105 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 5.0% | -3.1% | -4.8% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0066 | -0.0066 | -0.0066 | -0.0066 |
| Alpha ($) | $-70 | $-70 | $-70 | $-70 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -51.0% | -51.0% | -51.0% | -51.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.131 | 0.131 | 0.131 | 0.131 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0114 | -0.0114 | -0.0114 | -0.0114 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 4.62e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $48.1k |
| $48.1k |
| Worst day | $11 | $-1.44k | $-29.1k | $-29.1k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $2.58k |
| $1.71k |
| $2.38k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 33% | 68% | 77% | 11% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 89% | 95% | 58% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 93% | 95% | 28% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 3% |
| 0% |
| 6% |
| 5% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.0000 | -0.0094 | -0.0045 |
| Inventory turnover | 92.00 | 109.00 | 3504.00 | 5284.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 0.56 | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| Avg ticket | $277 | $265 | $131 | $116 |
| Median ticket | $4 | $7 | $10 | $8 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -335.30 | 15.33 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.27 |
| 1.62 |
| 1.84 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $321k | 93% | 104 |
| Soccer | $49.3k | 82% | 38 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $23.3k | 100% | 3 |
| Chess | $12k | 100% | 14 |
| Eurovision | $5.65k | 100% | 3 |
| UEFA | $1.7k | 50% | 2 |
| Culture | $578 | 100% | 1 |
| UK Elections | $490 | 100% | 1 |
| Group Futures | $314 | 100% | 1 |
| Darts | $308 | 100% | 2 |
| uncategorized | $155 | 100% | 1 |
| messi | $98 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x32552863… | $40.8k | $39.2k | 104.1% |
| 0xcba24842… | $22.1k | $29.5k | 74.9% |
| 0x125c3996… | $19.6k | $17.9k | 109.7% |
| 0xad6e2eda… | $16k | $9k | 177.8% |
| 0x0d52057a… | $15.6k | $10.9k | 143.9% |
| 0xa1d2d41e… | $15.3k | $12.7k | 120.1% |
| 0xe4794000… | $14.6k | $12.5k | 116.9% |
| 0x6e9f90a6… | $13.8k | $3.9k | 353.8% |
| 0xb99047b9… | $13.6k | $12.4k | 109.0% |
| 0xb8935bee… | $12.8k | $10.5k | 122.2% |
| 0xeff5cd35… | $11.5k | $15k | 76.3% |
| 0x536de230… | $11.3k | $16.5k | 68.6% |
| 0x86e4a803… | $11.3k | $12.5k | 90.1% |
| 0x7906cde0… | $10.7k | $3.03k | 354.5% |
| 0xe1953a0f… | $8.76k | $9.24k | 94.8% |
| 1482 |
| 1482 |
| 1482 |
| 1482 |