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0xe7bd…ebce
0xe7bd61ac59883bd4abda5c63865430452ecfebce
Favorite GrinderGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
91% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (92%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.11).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:08:32 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-35.2k
Open PnL
$-64.1k
Max drawdown
$93.3k
Underwater days
58
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $48.4k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $-12.8k | $54.8k | $28.2k |
| Win rate | N/A | 86% | 82% | 92% |
| ROI | N/A | -12% | 5% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.145 | -0.021 | -0.039 |
| Markets | 9 | 39 | 157 | 538 |
| Best day | N/A | $242 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.09 | 2.04 | 1.22 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $-918 | $421 | $56 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $33 | $13 | $5 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.02 | 0.46 | 0.11 |
| Largest win | N/A | $402 | $34.3k | $34.3k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-7.82k | $-13.3k | $-33.1k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $16.1k | $14k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.074 | -0.028 | -0.025 |
| Calmar | -0.378 | -0.378 | -0.378 | -0.378 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 57.5 | 57.5 | 57.5 | 57.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 51% | 22% | 12% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 99% | 70% | 56% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 84% | 72% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 9 | 28 | 83 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 61 | 759 | 3226 | 6271 |
| Unique markets | 9 | 39 | 157 | 538 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 81% | 80% |
| Avg entry price | 0.677 | 0.927 | 0.773 | 0.915 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.206 | 0.061 | 0.028 | 0.023 |
| Maker share (notional) | 76% | 54% | 56% | 49% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.9 | 5.5 | 11.6 | 39.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3.0 |
| Max concurrent | 4 | 22 | 89 | 423 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.09 | 5.36 | 1.09 | 1.36 |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 53% | 62% | 69% |
| Average-down share | 100% | 36% | 34% | 27% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.02 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 25% | 46% | 51% | 77% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0000 | 0.1192 | 0.0332 | 0.0291 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0000 | 0.1204 | 0.0719 | 0.0319 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.913 | 0.796 | 0.795 | 0.631 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-12 | $-0 | $128 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.68k | $-2.68k | $-2.68k | $-2.68k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -28.3% | -28.3% | -28.3% | -28.3% |
| Contrarian score | 0.161 | 0.161 | 0.161 | 0.161 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0010 | -0.0010 | -0.0010 | -0.0010 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 98.0%
- Scalper: 58.3%
- News Sniper: 41.1%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 36.0%
- Conviction Holder: 34.3%