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0xe785449529440cd6057179142a123ef0647be106
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.18 of market life) and 83% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (1244.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:03:09 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $817k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $823k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 55% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 13% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.063 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Best day | N/A | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.29 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $16.1k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $147 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.06 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $689k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-505k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $50.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | ∞ | 0.008 |
| Calmar | 2.825 | 2.825 | 2.825 | 2.825 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 11% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 38% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 15 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1244 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 120% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.470 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.044 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 16% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.9 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 42 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.94 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 67% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 83% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2480 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2445 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.176 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $212 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | -1.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0491 | -0.0491 | -0.0491 | -0.0491 |
| Alpha ($) | $-11.6k | $-11.6k | $-11.6k | $-11.6k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -20.8% | -20.8% | -20.8% | -20.8% |
| Contrarian score | -0.100 | -0.100 | -0.100 | -0.100 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0243 | -0.0243 | -0.0243 | -0.0243 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $0 |
| $732k |
| Worst day | N/A | $0 | $0 | $-387k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| N/A |
| $16.1k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 44% | 23% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 57% | 63% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% | 14% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1244.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.01 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $5.25k |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2.04k |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0.39 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $823k | 55% | 51 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x532c8667… | $689k | $416k | 165.6% |
| 0x2efb82c3… | $-505k | $505k | -100.0% |
| 0x5e7978bc… | $472k | $367k | 128.7% |
| 0x1e97827f… | $410k | $492k | 83.4% |
| 0x34eed1e9… | $394k | $339k | 116.4% |
| 0x103eb3be… | $-384k | $388k | -98.8% |
| 0xf9e5621b… | $-352k | $354k | -99.4% |
| 0xed4a3922… | $-276k | $297k | -93.2% |
| 0x22c3d748… | $-251k | $251k | -100.0% |
| 0xfa8d1f6d… | $216k | $292k | 73.9% |
| 0x487c3a25… | $193k | $297k | 64.8% |
| 0xe15be69e… | $-192k | $195k | -98.0% |
| 0x1726e69a… | $186k | $166k | 112.5% |
| 0xd406872b… | $-178k | $179k | -99.5% |
| 0x2d803feb… | $165k | $156k | 105.9% |
| 1012 |
| 1012 |
| 1012 |
| 1012 |