Loading trader…
0xe639e41094bbeae18f3e6d1790c17299183f082a
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
93% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (79%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (1.45).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:03:11 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $476k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $4.61k | $10.2k | $475k |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 100% | 79% |
| ROI | N/A | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.094 | 0.293 | 0.149 |
| Markets | 3 | 9 | 18 | 264 |
| Best day | $-193 | $826 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.53 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $2.3k | $1.14k | $1.69k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $2.3k | $480 | $45 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.45 |
| Largest win | N/A | $3.76k | $3.76k | $73k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-45.7k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $727 | $455 | $4.59k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.080 | 0.297 | 0.156 |
| Calmar | 8.218 | 8.218 | 8.218 | 8.218 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 71.0 | 71.0 | 71.0 | 71.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 82% | 37% | 11% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 99% | 41% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 60% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 19 | 183 | 320 | 11819 |
| Unique markets | 3 | 9 | 18 | 264 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 60% | 49% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.577 | 0.950 | 0.911 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.985 | 0.419 | 0.232 | 0.021 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 96% | 59% | 55% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 28.9 | 128.8 | 305.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 0.2 | 68.1 | 44.4 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 3 | 8 | 148 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 75.75 | 0.20 | 5.65 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 89% | 82% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 11% | 16% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 0% | 57% | 54% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0068 | 0.0001 | 0.0049 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0068 | 0.0116 | 0.0369 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.741 | 0.545 | 0.657 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $5 | $1.18k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -0.0% | 34.7% | 18.7% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0058 | -0.0058 | -0.0058 | -0.0058 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.17k | $-2.17k | $-2.17k | $-2.17k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -41.0% | -41.0% | -41.0% | -41.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.069 | -0.069 | -0.069 | -0.069 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0007 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $1.27k |
| $48.3k |
| Worst day | $-193 | $-1.43k | $-1.43k | $-45.6k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $2.3k |
| $1.14k |
| $1.69k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 28% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 45% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 79% | 4% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 62% | 3% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 94% | 93% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 9% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.1821 | 0.1229 | 0.0013 |
| Inventory turnover | 19.00 | 183.00 | 320.00 | 11819.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 1.46 | 1.20 | 1.19 |
| Avg ticket | $4.02k | $2.45k | $3.8k | $3.16k |
| Median ticket | $67 | $199 | $107 | $99 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 6.30 | 0.16 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 1.49 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Fed Rates | $241k | 83% | 18 |
| fomc | $104k | 82% | 11 |
| UFC | $-45k | 90% | 21 |
| Politics | $23.8k | 76% | 34 |
| Global Elections | $21.4k | 100% | 1 |
| Kanye | $-18.8k | 25% | 4 |
| Dem Nominee | $15.2k | 100% | 3 |
| Parent For Derivative | $14.5k | 50% | 4 |
| january 6 | $13.9k | 100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | $13.7k | 50% | 4 |
| USA Election | $12.4k | 86% | 21 |
| Biden | $11.6k | 86% | 14 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9f41a3e4… | $73k | $722k | 10.1% |
| 0xffffb287… | $67.5k | $551k | 12.2% |
| 0x415b712c… | $-45.7k | $45.7k | -100.0% |
| 0xcb111226… | $40.6k | $798k | 5.1% |
| 0xe93c89c4… | $37k | $820k | 4.5% |
| 0x4a68d828… | $32.3k | $671k | 4.8% |
| 0xffdd7741… | $25.3k | $631k | 4.0% |
| 0xd6f28c87… | $21.4k | $609k | 3.5% |
| 0x53f82bd5… | $16k | $794k | 2.0% |
| 0x93ec7298… | $-15.8k | $57.8k | -27.3% |
| 0xc3d41551… | $13.9k | $466k | 3.0% |
| 0x7cb525e8… | $13.4k | $797k | 1.7% |
| 0x2d606a51… | $12.7k | $309k | 4.1% |
| 0x46d40e85… | $12.3k | $858k | 1.4% |
| 0x655e5ca1… | $9.71k | $661k | 1.5% |
| 538 |
| 538 |
| 538 |
| 538 |