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0xe5c8026239919339b988fdb150a7ef4ea196d3e7
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 1.95 and disposition ratio 11.20, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 106.3), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:02:44 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 71% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.048 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.87 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $9.83k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $317 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.57 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $743k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-179k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2 |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.022 | 0.022 | 0.022 | 0.013 |
| Calmar | 2.603 | 2.603 | 2.603 | 2.603 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 564.5 | 564.5 | 564.5 | 564.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 31% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 75% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 10 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2000 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.779 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.044 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 41% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 175.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8.3 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 31 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 11.20 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 56% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 36% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1098 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1153 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.465 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-4.06k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.4% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0155 | 0.0155 | 0.0155 | 0.0155 |
| Alpha ($) | $-13.7k | $-13.7k | $-13.7k | $-13.7k |
| Alpha ROI gap | 72.3% | 72.3% | 72.3% | 72.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.127 | -0.127 | -0.127 | -0.127 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0926 | -0.0926 | -0.0926 | -0.0926 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 2.58e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $0 |
| $18 |
| Worst day | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-17 |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| N/A |
| $9.83k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 9% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 35% | 11% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 67% | 8% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 83% | 28% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 93% | 52% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 10% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0530 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2000.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.53 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $1.74k |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $78 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -23.61 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | N/A | 11 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 1.95 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Biden | $597k | 67% | 12 |
| Elon Musk | $294k | 71% | 14 |
| US Election | $216k | 50% | 2 |
| Science | $116k | 100% | 3 |
| Fed Rates | $77.7k | 78% | 9 |
| Politics | $60.4k | 78% | 9 |
| 2026 Winter Games | $54.2k | 50% | 4 |
| DNC | $-33.9k | 0% | 1 |
| Sports | $-25.4k | 38% | 13 |
| Celebrities | $-18.8k | 50% | 2 |
| Israel | $13.8k | 80% | 5 |
| Trump | $10.7k | 83% | 18 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x57f90c89… | $743k | $212k | 349.7% |
| 0xcd1b6b71… | $217k | $97.9k | 221.8% |
| 0xe64f063b… | $-137k | $428k | -32.0% |
| 0x6cc501fa… | $124k | $147k | 84.0% |
| 0xc219cd59… | $123k | $215k | 57.1% |
| 0x26d85d02… | $84.8k | $304k | 27.9% |
| 0x1efd0cc9… | $75k | $114k | 65.7% |
| 0x70357deb… | $-70.4k | $74.1k | -95.0% |
| 0x606ce5fa… | $68.3k | $47.9k | 142.7% |
| 0x408c049c… | $-65.8k | $75.8k | -86.8% |
| 0xae4735f6… | $53.6k | $18.6k | 287.5% |
| 0x9d231a70… | $48k | $125k | 38.5% |
| 0x1b60fead… | $-34.1k | $87.5k | -39.0% |
| 0xdc3c6b8b… | $-33.9k | $33.9k | -100.0% |
| 0xd1e760f5… | $29.2k | $242k | 12.1% |
| 1478 |
| 1478 |
| 1478 |
| 1478 |