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0xe5241830e8876c115d7dc8311ad9f43d85fdd34f
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 3.55 and disposition ratio 0.02, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 164.2), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:08:51 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $106k | $625k |
| Realized PnL | $-123k | $-166k | $-20.3k | $538k |
| Win rate | 33% | 41% | 57% | 50% |
| ROI | -34% | -23% | -1% | 8% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.002 | 0.089 | 0.132 |
| Markets | 26 | 80 | 294 | 879 |
| Best day | $-2.23k | $49.2k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.32 | 0.49 | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-2.68k | $-1.47k | $-71 | $426 |
| Median trade PnL | $-530 | $-153 | $67 | $-2 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 1.21 |
| Largest win | $20.1k | $20.1k | $24.9k | $82.6k |
| Largest loss | $-41.3k | $-41.3k | $-41.3k | $-41.3k |
| Expectancy | $-2.68k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $38k | $24.6k | $17.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.147 | -0.001 | 0.084 | 0.147 |
| Calmar | 3.492 | 3.492 | 3.492 | 3.492 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 67.0 | 67.0 | 67.0 | 67.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 42% | 22% | 10% | 5% |
| Concentration top-10 | 63% | 35% | 17% | 8% |
| Max win streak | 15 | 37 | 57 | 69 |
| Max loss streak | 31 | 35 | 35 | 64 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 453 | 2043 | 7511 | 14722 |
| Unique markets | 26 | 80 | 294 | 879 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 97% | 84% |
| Avg entry price | 0.426 | 0.419 | 0.134 | 0.297 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.058 | 0.050 | 0.020 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 91% | 69% | 67% | 51% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.7 | 0.9 | 34.1 | 5.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 4 | 8 | 36 | 378 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.08 | 0.06 | 9.00 | 0.02 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 71% | 50% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 24% | 24% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 12% | 9% | 11% | 42% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2294 | 0.2133 | 0.1800 | 0.1982 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1548 | 0.1625 | 0.1792 | 0.2016 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.989 | 0.884 | 0.917 | 0.856 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-105 | $53 | $135 | $26 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0034 | -0.0034 | -0.0034 | -0.0034 |
| Alpha ($) | $-41 | $-41 | $-41 | $-41 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -7.4% | -7.4% | -7.4% | -7.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.213 | -0.213 | -0.213 | -0.213 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0997 | -0.0997 | -0.0997 | -0.0997 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 1.40e-21; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $49.2k |
| $85.1k |
| Worst day | $-2.23k | $-74.4k | $-74.4k | $-74.4k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-1.47k |
| $-71 |
| $426 |
| <0.10 |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 7% |
| 10% |
| 2% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 5% | 11% | 29% | 30% | 27% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 33% | 54% | 57% | 53% | 29% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 78% | 65% | 77% | 74% | 36% |
| >0.90 | 67% | 80% | 89% | 91% | 6% |
| 0% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| Spread capture | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0169 | 0.0146 |
| Inventory turnover | 453.00 | 2043.00 | 7511.00 | 14722.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.43 | 0.71 | 1.22 | 0.75 |
| Avg ticket | $345 | $251 | $320 | $349 |
| Median ticket | $18 | $5 | $14 | $11 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -129.60 | 30.45 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.38 |
| 4.21 |
| 3.55 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $485k | 49% | 1133 |
| Tennis | $30.5k | 56% | 110 |
| UFC 325 | $9.14k | 75% | 4 |
| uncategorized | $7.12k | 50% | 8 |
| Nate Diaz | $5.85k | 100% | 1 |
| Combat Sports | $1.9k | 100% | 1 |
| Wimbledon | $-680 | 40% | 5 |
| Soccer | $-195 | 0% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xed2af521… | $82.6k | $12.3k | 669.2% |
| 0xba0e7ea7… | $70.4k | $9.6k | 733.3% |
| 0x583fdfc4… | $58.1k | $11.9k | 488.2% |
| 0x68120254… | $48.6k | $11.4k | 426.3% |
| 0x688fbfe2… | $48k | $12k | 400.0% |
| 0x6f625933… | $-41.3k | $41.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x2c28b344… | $37k | $7.2k | 514.3% |
| 0x8b13fb10… | $36k | $9k | 400.0% |
| 0x487afac9… | $31.8k | $4.76k | 669.1% |
| 0x91cbcee4… | $28.6k | $12.3k | 233.3% |
| 0xaf82c474… | $27.6k | $24.4k | 112.8% |
| 0xf3c6f807… | $26.4k | $9.01k | 293.2% |
| 0x1c7e70b3… | $25.6k | $14.4k | 177.8% |
| 0x8e534b0b… | $-25k | $25k | -100.0% |
| 0x889e0fa1… | $24.9k | $10.2k | 244.8% |
| 727 |
| 727 |
| 727 |
| 727 |