This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 4000 with median hold 0.6 hours, maker share only 80%.
Capital velocity 0.0 and held-to-resolution 36% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:03:32 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$604k
Open PnL
$-134k
Max drawdown
$96.3k
Underwater days
87
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
PnL (leaderboard)
N/A
N/A
N/A
$604k
Realized PnL
$1.71k
$6.52k
$64.2k
$357k
Win rate
69%
67%
70%
66%
ROI
22%
25%
16%
13%
Sharpe (daily)
N/A
0.284
-0.238
0.179
Markets
74
228
1135
1135
Best day
$-773
$2.93k
Performance
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Profit factor
1.77
2.05
1.59
1.56
Mean trade PnL
$21
$27
$25
$36
Median trade PnL
$4
$5
$3
$3
Payoff ratio
0.81
1.03
0.69
0.81
Largest win
$503
$574
$2.96k
$17k
Largest loss
$-866
$-866
$-3.06k
$-5.6k
Expectancy
$21
Risk
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
PnL volatility
N/A
$1.2k
$3.59k
$5.79k
Sortino (daily)
N/A
0.592
-0.163
0.172
Calmar
6.272
6.272
6.272
6.272
Drawdown duration (days)
51.5
51.5
51.5
51.5
Consistency
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Concentration top-1
14%
5%
1%
1%
Concentration top-5
50%
17%
5%
2%
Concentration top-10
72%
31%
8%
3%
Max win streak
6
10
37
37
Max loss streak
2
3
4
5
Odds bucket
24h win rate
7d win rate
30d win rate
All-time win rate
Notional (all)
Activity
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Trade count
271
970
4000
4000
Unique markets
74
228
1135
1135
Active days ratio
200%
100%
100%
100%
Avg entry price
0.585
0.575
0.597
0.597
Portfolio HHI
0.049
0.016
0.004
0.004
Maker share (notional)
60%
69%
80%
80%
Two-sided share
34%
Behavior
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Holding time avg (h)
1.5
1.3
1.1
1.1
Holding time median (h)
0.9
0.8
0.6
0.6
Max concurrent
47
115
443
443
Disposition ratio
0.96
0.96
0.63
0.63
Add-to-winner share
62%
72%
77%
77%
Average-down share
35%
27%
22%
22%
Tilt ratio
0.70
Markets / calibration
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Held to resolution
68%
49%
36%
36%
Brier (weighted)
0.2048
0.1713
0.1898
0.1713
Brier (unweighted)
0.1906
0.1868
0.1749
0.1786
Entry timing mean
0.516
0.517
0.497
0.497
Exit quality ($)
$-0
$-1
$1
$-2
Exit quality ROI gap
-0.0%
-0.5%
-0.6%
0.1%
Style
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
CLV mean
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
Alpha ($)
$-15
$-15
$-15
$-15
Alpha ROI gap
-77.6%
-77.6%
-77.6%
-77.6%
Contrarian score
0.267
0.267
0.267
0.267
Post-fill drift
-0.0959
-0.0959
-0.0959
-0.0959
Post-fill candles (mean)
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
Post-fill observations
Archetype scores
Scalper: 55.5%
News Sniper: 34.8%
Tilted Gambler: 30.0%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 25.4%
Conviction Holder: 21.9%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 4.76e-208; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.