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0xe361…ae44 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xe361…ae44
0xe3611dada6c5ea53af7bf22e80e07c005f48ae44
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 26430 with median hold 2.2 hours, maker share only 48%.
Capital velocity 1.1 and held-to-resolution 67% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:49:35 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $5.39k | $37.2k | $57.6k | $416k |
| Realized PnL | $14.4k | $38k | $65.7k | $417k |
| Win rate | 59% | 57% | 59% | 59% |
| ROI | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.754 | 0.545 | 0.698 |
| Markets | 13 | 100 | 281 | 1123 |
| Best day | $-0 | $14.8k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 2.60 | 2.11 | 1.82 | 2.02 |
| Mean trade PnL | $495 | $253 | $165 | $213 |
| Median trade PnL | $70 | $24 | $44 | $42 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.84 | 1.59 | 1.26 | 1.38 |
| Largest win | $7.17k | $7.17k | $7.17k | $17.3k |
| Largest loss | $-3.55k | $-4.96k | $-4.96k | $-8.59k |
| Expectancy | $495 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $6.02k | $3.59k | $6.57k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 4.727 | 1.241 | 2.887 |
| Calmar | 64.868 | 64.868 | 64.868 | 64.868 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 23% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 72% | 33% | 15% | 5% |
| Concentration top-10 | 92% | 51% | 25% | 9% |
| Max win streak | 5 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| Max loss streak | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 448 | 2788 | 7499 | 26430 |
| Unique markets | 13 | 100 | 281 | 1123 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 117% | 90% | 94% |
| Avg entry price | 0.325 | 0.443 | 0.414 | 0.472 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.189 | 0.033 | 0.013 | 0.004 |
| Maker share (notional) | 47% | 44% | 47% | 48% |
| Two-sided share | 54% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.2 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Max concurrent | 11 | 88 | 211 | 778 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.35 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.16 |
| Add-to-winner share | 44% | 76% | 68% | 73% |
| Average-down share | 55% | 22% | 31% | 26% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.21 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 71% | 80% | 73% | 67% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0578 | 0.0614 | 0.0634 | 0.0615 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1060 | 0.1215 | 0.1301 | 0.1310 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.854 | 0.773 | 0.863 | 0.907 |
| Exit quality ($) | $1.36k | $388 | $165 | $186 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 36.6% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0849 | -0.0849 | -0.0849 | -0.0849 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.55k | $-1.55k | $-1.55k | $-1.55k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -35.9% | -35.9% | -35.9% | -35.9% |
| Contrarian score | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0896 | -0.0896 | -0.0896 | -0.0896 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 59.1%
- News Sniper: 55.2%
- Favorite Grinder: 44.8%
- Conviction Holder: 32.0%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.0%
| Worst day | $-0 | $-961 | $-2.67k | $-3.14k |
| Spread capture | 0.0253 | 0.0235 | 0.0265 | 0.0248 |
| Inventory turnover | 448.00 | 2788.00 | 7499.00 | 26430.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.81 | 1.48 | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| Avg ticket | $505 | $386 | $298 | $285 |
| Median ticket | $52 | $47 | $30 | $30 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 238.70 | -106.55 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Esports | $419k | 60% | 1940 |
| lol | $-1.56k | 38% | 8 |
| Sports | $-536 | 0% | 2 |
| Tennis | $120 | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xe317e7b4… | $16.7k | $32.1k | 52.1% |
| 0x48a7d022… | $8.67k | $86.9k | 10.0% |
| 0x50e4ce5e… | $8.36k | $26.6k | 31.5% |
| 0xd031390e… | $8.35k | $86.1k | 9.7% |
| 0xe6c69226… | $7.42k | $87.4k | 8.5% |
| 0x6b049bc3… | $7.4k | $62.6k | 11.8% |
| 0xeb405978… | $6.7k | $52.2k | 12.8% |
| 0x4efbc90e… | $6.53k | $38.3k | 17.1% |
| 0xa19e776d… | $6.47k | $5.74k | 112.8% |
| 0x68d9aef6… | $6.15k | $4.06k | 151.5% |
| 0x327d31b5… | $6.13k | $20.4k | 30.1% |
| 0x35691d65… | $-5.62k | $16.3k | -34.4% |
| 0x97da758c… | $-5.47k | $6.46k | -84.7% |
| 0x2f1d8bdb… | $5.39k | $32.1k | 16.8% |
| 0x8b512079… | $5.25k | $25.3k | 20.8% |