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0xe10e…2cfe · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xe10e…2cfe
0xe10e15b2f1933ead072f0e064f927418f1362cfe
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 6162 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 3%.
Capital velocity 1.7 and held-to-resolution 74% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A tilt warning is also attached: size or pacing after losses looks elevated even though another style won the primary label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:03:36 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.21k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.28k | $4k | $6.62k | $11.1k |
| Win rate | 100% | 73% | 78% | 67% |
| ROI | 3564% | 321% | 439% | 148% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.562 | 0.302 | 0.223 |
| Markets | 7 | 324 | 784 | 2147 |
| Best day | $1.18k | $1.44k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 12.58 | 19.62 | 5.87 |
| Mean trade PnL | $641 | $20 | $26 | $11 |
| Median trade PnL | $641 | $3 | $4 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 4.60 | 5.53 | 2.93 |
| Largest win | $1.27k | $1.27k | $1.27k | $1.27k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-35 | $-35 | $-35 |
| Expectancy | $641 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $678 | $428 | $274 |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 1.106 | 1.433 | 0.962 |
| Calmar | 16.479 | 16.479 | 16.479 | 16.479 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 99% | 27% | 17% | 8% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 67% | 59% | 33% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 73% | 68% | 40% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 7 | 928 | 2482 | 6162 |
| Unique markets | 7 | 324 | 784 | 2147 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 103% | 101% |
| Avg entry price | 0.067 | 0.183 | 0.068 | 0.095 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.173 | 0.005 | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 4% | 3% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 7 | 302 | 542 | 1465 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.67 | 1.07 | 4.43 | 1.50 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 50% | 49% | 50% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 46% | 47% | 46% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 94% | 72% | 74% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.9074 | 0.3312 | 0.3853 | 0.2446 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.7212 | 0.2955 | 0.3693 | 0.2702 |
| Entry timing mean | 1.000 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.999 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0640 | -0.0640 | -0.0640 | -0.0640 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2 | $-2 | $-2 | $-2 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -15.5% | -15.5% | -15.5% | -15.5% |
| Contrarian score | -0.051 | -0.051 | -0.051 | -0.051 |
| Post-fill drift | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill observations | N/A |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 76.5%
- Tilted Gambler: 68.1%
- News Sniper: 61.5%
- Contrarian Fader: 36.5%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 29.6%
| Worst day | $1.18k | $-337 | $-337 | $-337 |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 67% | 83% | 61% | 27% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 7.00 | 928.00 | 2482.00 | 6162.00 |
| Capital velocity | 4.47 | 2.07 | 2.79 | 1.66 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 25.60 | 16.71 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $11.2k | 67% | 1027 |
| uncategorized | $-28 | 53% | 15 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x33341050… | $1.27k | $33 | 3911.4% |
| 0xe24e04c8… | $1.24k | $13 | 9766.8% |
| 0x6f13d794… | $1.19k | $14 | 8583.1% |
| 0x58a281e9… | $1.14k | $12 | 9310.0% |
| 0x411703a1… | $364 | $12 | 3033.4% |
| 0xafd0407e… | $278 | $12 | 2252.7% |
| 0xe1e004eb… | $252 | $10 | 2473.5% |
| 0xc91d3eb9… | $235 | $26 | 916.1% |
| 0xb3c693f2… | $170 | $12 | 1375.1% |
| 0xb36f1323… | $126 | $10 | 1226.5% |
| 0x128b6e43… | $122 | $12 | 1004.6% |
| 0xaa8a3c12… | $110 | $12 | 890.7% |
| 0x118a1c7d… | $106 | $13 | 794.1% |
| 0xcc55282d… | $104 | $33 | 311.2% |
| 0xc70b0412… | $104 | $11 | 947.1% |
0x464543d487… entry 0.178 timing 1.000x58a281e90c… entry 0.0110x78e09e6625… entry 0.280 timing 1.000x622d4c90ed… entry 0.192 timing 1.000xe1ba108f06… entry 0.1670x5b4f12d883… entry 0.280 timing 1.000x5168b8325e… entry 0.118 timing 1.000xa71de679f4… entry 0.277 timing 1.000x636752b65b… entry 0.140 timing 1.000x8097b2f67a… entry 0.200 timing 1.000x5119d9c584… entry 0.161 timing 1.000x411703a193… entry 0.0320x1db68d9712… entry 0.2100xab1984a8c5… entry 0.210 timing 1.000x8ae800e27a… entry 0.144 timing 1.000x16ec952417… entry 0.290 timing 1.000xead2fd4be1… entry 0.270 timing 1.000x564790aad6… entry 0.170 timing 1.000xc665d5ca43… entry 0.260 timing 1.000x082c8a871a… entry 0.2050x9dea7ae3ee… entry 0.228 timing 1.000x63380355f2… entry 0.289 timing 1.000x11516ff316… entry 0.220 timing 1.000x1b39b15859… entry 0.219 timing 1.000x0cb67c1d55… entry 0.190 timing 1.000x31dcb474e0… entry 0.300 timing 1.000x926438f191… entry 0.160 timing 1.000x9b8a99b769… entry 0.247 timing 1.000x7911afea4f… entry 0.260 timing 1.000x16761b9366… entry 0.170 timing 1.000x66b9dcd636… entry 0.240 timing 1.000xa5e66a0e2f… entry 0.240 timing 1.000x792aefbbbd… entry 0.240 timing 1.000x471e4a1ec1… entry 0.220 timing 1.000x19c26e143c… entry 0.131 timing 1.000xdd025a7e59… entry 0.255 timing 1.000xbd9dab9615… entry 0.210 timing 1.000x12a98d4c71… entry 0.141 timing 1.000x9b907da84c… entry 0.100 timing 1.000x812a40b722… entry 0.260 timing 1.000x68eeeb0635… entry 0.134 timing 1.000xc6e3554751… entry 0.270 timing 1.000xb92f7e3272… entry 0.164 timing 1.000x0b91f7fc2f… entry 0.270 timing 1.000x502c811ca4… entry 0.206 timing 1.000xd2fa6c227b… entry 0.150 timing 1.000xb7ce632b50… entry 0.257 timing 1.000x966606c29c… entry 0.190 timing 1.000x21679fd42f… entry 0.280 timing 1.000x7b7b30abe5… entry 0.155 timing 1.000x4d399296df… entry 0.220 timing 1.000x063161ffd8… entry 0.240 timing 1.000x9c8430afb8… entry 0.2000x68aa8472c9… entry 0.2060xd80be5141f… entry 0.110 timing 1.000xceae3ec88a… entry 0.271 timing 1.000x78e8882661… entry 0.030 timing 1.000x42c258bfdb… entry 0.1220xa492b2d2f1… entry 0.200 timing 1.000x62f752c6ec… entry 0.168 timing 1.000xf081dcd33e… entry 0.240 timing 1.000x49fc1712c5… entry 0.253 timing 1.000x9f3a5ff333… entry 0.220 timing 1.000xa850c34095… entry 0.170 timing 1.000xed7f34bf70… entry 0.1800x2ca8d7777a… entry 0.300 timing 1.000xa838967809… entry 0.170 timing 1.000xef52b04285… entry 0.2360x9b6b4f3bea… entry 0.300 timing 1.000xe87b2fef5a… entry 0.230 timing 1.000xc89d830223… entry 0.210 timing 1.000x0ef45c67ea… entry 0.290 timing 1.000x34c6939b5c… entry 0.210 timing 1.000x61d1587cb8… entry 0.278 timing 1.000x8797bd2b65… entry 0.110 timing 1.000x5bb0638970… entry 0.170 timing 1.000x362d578a57… entry 0.300 timing 1.000x9ded4822c0… entry 0.070 timing 1.000x70eb55b23f… entry 0.110 timing 1.000x9d7e139616… entry 0.166 timing 1.000x08632cdac3… entry 0.152 timing 1.000x3316b16267… entry 0.1740x2c45b6d3c5… entry 0.1520x2b93e4e486… entry 0.210 timing 1.000xda47c2d53f… entry 0.180 timing 1.000x913c0fc687… entry 0.155 timing 1.000x92d5e427f5… entry 0.250 timing 1.000xc0c1427cd5… entry 0.2200x6af100df98… entry 0.201 timing 1.000x4428291bb0… entry 0.140 timing 1.000x94788e715e… entry 0.115 timing 1.000xc286e46ffc… entry 0.090 timing 1.000x0773484748… entry 0.170 timing 1.000x22669a01b9… entry 0.2900xcc3b5c8aa5… entry 0.2600xc7b0b89942… entry 0.1590x270359d86a… entry 0.2300x11755acf5a… entry 0.0390xaa8a3c1286… entry 0.1010x84b600d241… entry 0.2600xe375fe60c5… entry 0.206 timing 1.000x6e6a815a3a… entry 0.1300x17ecb0a1d4… entry 0.280 timing 1.000x128b6e434e… entry 0.0910xb68c5eb6bd… entry 0.201