0xe02c2c43232a8565220fae09edb1ca89ae064acd
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 0 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 1.00 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 1.5 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:44:04 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $25.5k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $18.1k | $30.3k | $30.3k | $30.3k |
| Win rate | 67% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| ROI | 245% | 270% | 270% | 270% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Markets | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| Best day | $-743 | $14k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 310.95 | 518.97 | 518.97 | 518.97 |
| Mean trade PnL | $6.05k | $6.06k | $6.06k | $6.06k |
| Median trade PnL | $3.71k | $3.71k | $3.71k | $3.71k |
| Payoff ratio | 155.47 | 129.74 | 129.74 | 129.74 |
| Largest win | $14.5k | $14.5k | $14.5k | $14.5k |
| Largest loss | $-59 | $-59 | $-59 | $-59 |
| Expectancy | $6.05k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Calmar | 17.873 | 17.873 | 17.873 | 17.873 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 79% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 44 | 49 | 49 | 49 |
| Unique markets | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Avg entry price | 0.095 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.141 | 0.219 | 0.219 | 0.219 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Max concurrent | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.08 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Add-to-winner share | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Average-down share | 71% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.85 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 83% | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.4746 | 0.5102 | 0.5102 | 0.5102 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.5120 | 0.5803 | 0.5803 | 0.5803 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.999 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-152 | $-334 | $-334 | $-334 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -151.8% | -115.0% | -115.0% | -115.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.2606 | 0.2606 | 0.2606 | 0.2606 |
| Alpha ($) | $-142 | $-142 | $-142 | $-142 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -150.6% | -150.6% | -150.6% | -150.6% |
| Contrarian score | 0.429 | 0.429 | 0.429 | 0.429 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.2079 | 0.2079 | 0.2079 | 0.2079 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $14k |
| $14k |
| Worst day | $-743 | $-743 | $-743 | $-743 |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $6.06k |
| $6.06k |
| $6.06k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 50% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 73% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 27% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 44.00 | 49.00 | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.57 | 3.46 | 3.46 | 3.46 |
| Avg ticket | $432 | $794 | $794 | $794 |
| Median ticket | $219 | $250 | $250 | $250 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.46 |
| 0.46 |
| 0.46 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | $30.3k | 80% | 5 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9f888b77… | $14.5k | $4.21k | 344.2% |
| 0x776956c5… | $9.35k | $3.5k | 267.3% |
| 0x7b44b679… | $3.71k | $3.09k | 120.1% |
| 0xadf4acda… | $2.82k | $350 | 805.6% |
| 0xa4d9a505… | $-59 | $100 | -58.5% |
| 24 |
| 24 |
| 24 |
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