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0xe015b5a2a299167be835a2fd1e86f09c49e06ffd
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 4 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.84 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 0.8 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:44:02 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $154k | $200k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $466k | $588k | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | 91% | 89% | 90% |
| ROI | N/A | 95% | 86% | 59% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.860 | 0.060 | -0.013 |
| Markets | 28 | 81 | 150 | 830 |
| Best day | N/A | $246k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 17.15 | 11.82 | 5.78 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $13.7k | $8.78k | $5.9k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $9.37k | $4.1k | $1.85k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 1.66 | 1.40 | 0.67 |
| Largest win | N/A | $50.9k | $50.9k | $124k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-15.2k | $-15.2k | $-146k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $56.5k | $39.1k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.991 | 0.117 | -0.012 |
| Calmar | -0.135 | -0.135 | -0.135 | -0.135 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 104.5 | 104.5 | 104.5 | 104.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 42% | 32% | 13% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 68% | 53% | 20% |
| Max win streak | 10 | 23 | 23 | 31 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 596 | 2192 | 3593 | 20490 |
| Unique markets | 28 | 81 | 150 | 830 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 120% | 80% | 54% |
| Avg entry price | 0.421 | 0.473 | 0.499 | 0.491 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.070 | 0.037 | 0.024 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 98% | 84% | 86% | 74% |
| Two-sided share | 4% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.1 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 23 | 46 | 342 |
| Disposition ratio | 8.00 | 106.36 | 0.66 | 2.00 |
| Add-to-winner share | 57% | 75% | 73% | 58% |
| Average-down share | 43% | 25% | 22% | 31% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.46 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 12% | 21% | 26% | 41% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1955 | 0.2148 | 0.2124 | 0.1962 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2532 | 0.2579 | 0.2236 | 0.2286 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.938 | 0.688 | 0.769 | 0.841 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-74 | $-170 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0764 | 0.0764 | 0.0764 | 0.0764 |
| Alpha ($) | $-117 | $-117 | $-117 | $-117 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -59.7% | -59.7% | -59.7% | -59.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.213 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0156 | -0.0156 | -0.0156 | -0.0156 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $246k |
| $246k |
| Worst day | N/A | $-87.6k | $-87.6k | $-198k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $13.7k |
| $8.78k |
| $5.9k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 50% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 79% | 74% | 86% | 12% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 75% | 91% | 93% | 86% | 45% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 38% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 5% |
| 5% |
| 4% |
| 6% |
| Spread capture | -0.0030 | 0.0141 | -0.0040 | 0.0121 |
| Inventory turnover | 596.00 | 2192.00 | 3593.00 | 20490.00 |
| Capital velocity | 6.54 | 2.52 | 2.45 | 1.77 |
| Avg ticket | $787 | $582 | $502 | $407 |
| Median ticket | $35 | $18 | $19 | $15 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 167.20 | 32.87 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 0.69 |
| 3.27 |
| 2.14 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Esports | $2.48M | 90% | 373 |
| Sports | $238k | 85% | 74 |
| lol | $33.5k | 100% | 2 |
| 2026 NHL Playoffs | $25.2k | 100% | 4 |
| Tennis | $11k | 100% | 1 |
| Soccer | $5.46k | 100% | 4 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $4.18k | 100% | 3 |
| NBA | $364 | 100% | 4 |
| NHL | $5 | 100% | 5 |
| uncategorized | $1 | 100% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9c7095d2… | $-142k | $149k | -95.8% |
| 0x76373d58… | $124k | $89k | 139.2% |
| 0x9d46eeb0… | $55.8k | $124k | 44.9% |
| 0xc0be070b… | $53.2k | $35.2k | 151.2% |
| 0x033a08fe… | $50.9k | $12.4k | 410.8% |
| 0x624a2533… | $49.1k | $11.7k | 421.6% |
| 0xc1e48adc… | $48k | $48.4k | 99.1% |
| 0xc3f94672… | $46.1k | $98.9k | 46.6% |
| 0x7526f46b… | $44.6k | $22.2k | 201.0% |
| 0x77561605… | $43.8k | $59.7k | 73.4% |
| 0xda4b75a8… | $42.8k | $15.5k | 275.6% |
| 0x307c8718… | $42.6k | $34.6k | 123.3% |
| 0x18134c09… | $41.9k | $119k | 35.3% |
| 0x0fd4d0c6… | $41.1k | $38k | 108.3% |
| 0xbf8e1e6d… | $40.1k | $40k | 100.2% |
| 474 |
| 474 |
| 474 |
| 474 |