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0xdf79…3dcd · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xdf79…3dcd
0xdf7930e89a2c47560165331863c31deca0733dcd
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 68518 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 40%.
Capital velocity 0.6 and held-to-resolution 71% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:12:56 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.17k | $24.4k | $57k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.06k | $27.3k | $29.6k | $29.6k |
| Win rate | 57% | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| ROI | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.800 | 1.944 | 0.632 |
| Markets | 1175 | 3875 | 3875 | 3875 |
| Best day | $1.16k | $6.75k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1 | $3 | $3 | $3 |
| Median trade PnL | $2 | $2 | $2 | $2 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.80 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Largest win | $369 | $1.27k | $1.27k | $1.27k |
| Largest loss | $-415 | $-872 | $-872 | $-872 |
| Expectancy | $1 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.92k | $1.58k | $1.93k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.836 |
| Calmar | 98.767 | 98.767 | 98.767 | 98.767 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 56.0 | 56.0 | 56.0 | 56.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Concentration top-5 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-10 | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Max win streak | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Max loss streak | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 16288 | 68518 | 68518 | 68518 |
| Unique markets | 1175 | 3875 | 3875 | 3875 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 133% | 133% | 133% |
| Avg entry price | 0.580 | 0.541 | 0.541 | 0.541 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | 34% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Two-sided share | 68% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 1048 | 2995 | 2995 | 2995 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| Add-to-winner share | 71% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Average-down share | 28% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.13 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 81% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1695 | 0.1600 | 0.1602 | 0.1602 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1599 | 0.1532 | 0.1534 | 0.1534 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.996 | 0.996 | 0.996 | 0.996 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0016 | -0.0016 | -0.0016 | -0.0016 |
| Alpha ($) | $88 | $88 | $88 | $88 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 58.8% | 58.8% | 58.8% | 58.8% |
| Contrarian score | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.005 |
| Post-fill drift | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Post-fill observations | N/A |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 62.0%
- News Sniper: 56.0%
- Conviction Holder: 31.0%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 27.9%
- Contrarian Fader: 27.3%
| Worst day | $1.16k | $1.16k | $549 | $-797 |
| Spread capture | -0.0010 | 0.0146 | 0.0146 | 0.0146 |
| Inventory turnover | 16288.00 | 68518.00 | 68518.00 | 68518.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.15 | 0.62 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $29.6k | 55% | 9978 |
| uncategorized | $-12 | 70% | 20 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xbad27fd9… | $1.27k | $341 | 371.7% |
| 0x2153accc… | $1.23k | $1.17k | 105.1% |
| 0x6b41e0b2… | $-1.07k | $1.07k | -100.0% |
| 0x45b2f6ae… | $-778 | $778 | -100.0% |
| 0x33e6cd12… | $-747 | $1.84k | -40.6% |
| 0x432cb90e… | $-742 | $742 | -100.0% |
| 0xb87ffd09… | $730 | $314 | 232.3% |
| 0xf2c9e5b0… | $721 | $641 | 112.6% |
| 0x8f81baca… | $698 | $1.54k | 45.2% |
| 0x5b64e705… | $671 | $1.27k | 53.0% |
| 0xcd2bc565… | $661 | $357 | 185.3% |
| 0xebd24c05… | $653 | $1.28k | 50.9% |
| 0xd544b121… | $649 | $470 | 138.1% |
| 0xc0703583… | $616 | $1.59k | 38.8% |
| 0x74ee8e14… | $-608 | $608 | -100.0% |