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0xdf17…97d1
0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1
Secondary: Favorite Grinder
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 1.81 and disposition ratio 2.26, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 150.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Favorite Grinder, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:44:29 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$820k
Open PnL
$-18.2k
Max drawdown
$142k
Underwater days
411
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $13.2k | N/A | N/A | $821k |
| Realized PnL | $5.77k | $9.08k | $67.4k | $845k |
| Win rate | 50% | 60% | 59% | 55% |
| ROI | 183% | 31% | 3% | 4% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.545 | 0.008 | 0.111 |
| Markets | 16 | 57 | 142 | 678 |
| Best day | $11.6k | $11.6k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 13.06 | 5.62 | 3.02 | 1.95 |
| Mean trade PnL | $2.88k | $605 | $518 | $581 |
| Median trade PnL | $2.88k | $100 | $12 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | 13.06 | 3.75 | 2.08 | 1.57 |
| Largest win | $6.25k | $6.25k | $19.6k | $298k |
| Largest loss | $-478 | $-735 | $-12.5k | $-77.2k |
| Expectancy | $2.88k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $10.1k | $8.62k | $12.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.217 | -0.419 | 0.007 | 0.175 |
| Calmar | 5.792 | 5.792 | 5.792 | 5.792 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 93% | 48% | 22% | 11% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 91% | 52% | 33% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 98% | 69% | 44% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 3 | 16 | 34 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 209 | 1123 | 4225 | 39719 |
| Unique markets | 16 | 57 | 142 | 678 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.824 | 0.718 | 0.658 | 0.221 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.192 | 0.094 | 0.097 | 0.022 |
| Maker share (notional) | 95% | 44% | 64% | 58% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 10.4 | 50.2 | 79.5 | 100.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 6.6 | 55.1 | 53.3 | 24.3 |
| Max concurrent | 7 | 40 | 102 | 472 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.48 | 0.53 | 2.26 |
| Add-to-winner share | 34% | 57% | 40% | 65% |
| Average-down share | 38% | 39% | 58% | 30% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.01 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 43% | 59% | 61% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0680 | 0.0156 | 0.0334 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1637 | 0.0779 | 0.0734 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.548 | 0.488 | 0.592 | 0.500 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-4 | $327 | $284 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 117.0% | 359.7% | 222.2% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0026 | 0.0026 | 0.0026 | 0.0026 |
| Alpha ($) | $-96 | $-96 | $-96 | $-96 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -21.6% | -21.6% | -21.6% | -21.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.173 | -0.173 | -0.173 | -0.173 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0004 | 0.0004 | 0.0004 | 0.0004 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 58.8%
- Favorite Grinder: 55.5%
- Scalper: 45.3%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 37.7%
- Contrarian Fader: 35.0%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 2.51e-88; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
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