0xde17…0988

0xde17f7144fbd0eddb2679132c10ff5e74b120988

Favorite GrinderGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.

55% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (64%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.66).

That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 14:45:47 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$727k

Open PnL

$-179k

Max drawdown

$10.2k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$727k
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$0	$759k
Win rate	N/A	N/A	N/A	64%
ROI	N/A	N/A	N/A	3%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.408
Markets	0	0	0	499
Best day	$0	$0

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.17
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$390
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$42
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.66
Largest win	N/A	N/A	N/A	$195k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-151k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	N/A	$12.6k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.694
Calmar	70.874	70.874	70.874	70.874
Drawdown duration (days)	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	N/A	4%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	N/A	12%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	N/A	18%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	18
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	12

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	0	0	57150
Unique markets	0	0	0	499
Active days ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	110%
Avg entry price	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.527
Portfolio HHI	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.010
Maker share (notional)	N/A	N/A	N/A	60%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	14.6
Holding time median (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	3.3
Max concurrent	N/A	N/A	N/A	383
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.32
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	N/A	60%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	N/A	38%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	N/A	59%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0403
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.0254
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.697
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-603
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	N/A	2652.2%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.1242	-0.1242	-0.1242	-0.1242
Alpha ($)	$-585	$-585	$-585	$-585
Alpha ROI gap	1.8%	1.8%	1.8%	1.8%
Contrarian score	-0.016	-0.016	-0.016	-0.016
Post-fill drift	-0.0068	-0.0068	-0.0068	-0.0068
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.3	5.3	5.3	5.3
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Favorite Grinder: 55.2%
Scalper: 49.2%
News Sniper: 38.9%
Tilted Gambler: 33.2%
Contrarian Fader: 30.6%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x048624aa3b… entry 0.110 timing 0.48
0x1d90ba2893… entry 0.090
0x8e701ca531… entry 0.027
0x8340f91814… entry 0.012
0xea8911cea7… entry 0.189 timing 0.78
0x21b954b09a… entry 0.140
0x12a8c551dd… entry 0.128
0xe4b5162e9d… entry 0.033
0x6ac883e804… entry 0.046
0x18efeb055a… entry 0.050
0xb02ee8c4aa… entry 0.188 timing 0.47
0x799a5a151f… entry 0.026
0x8d5ca7aa21… entry 0.109 timing 0.45
0x5f78ca0f05… entry 0.027
0xf267aaa879… entry 0.151
0x21b9ec091e… entry 0.064
0x65b764aad4… entry 0.054
0x67b7f4fb84… entry 0.016
0x5bef0218b2… entry 0.050
0xd0f94375d8… entry 0.020

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0xde17…0988

0xde17f7144fbd0eddb2679132c10ff5e74b120988

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.

55% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (64%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.66).

That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$727k

Realized PnL

$759k

Win rate

N/A

64%

ROI

N/A

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.408

Markets

499

Best day

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

1.17

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$390

Median trade PnL

N/A

$42

Payoff ratio

N/A

0.66

Largest win

N/A

$195k

Largest loss

N/A

$-151k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$12.6k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.694

Calmar

70.874

Drawdown duration (days)

2.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

Concentration top-5

N/A

12%

Concentration top-10

N/A

18%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

57150

Unique markets

499

Active days ratio

N/A

110%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.527

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.010

Maker share (notional)

N/A

60%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

14.6

Holding time median (h)

N/A

3.3

Max concurrent

N/A

383

Disposition ratio

N/A

1.32

Add-to-winner share

N/A

60%

Average-down share

N/A

38%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

59%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.0403

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.0254

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.697

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$-603

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

2652.2%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.1242

Alpha ($)

$-585

Alpha ROI gap

1.8%

Contrarian score

-0.016

Post-fill drift

-0.0068

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.3

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Favorite Grinder: 55.2%

Scalper: 49.2%

News Sniper: 38.9%

Tilted Gambler: 33.2%

Contrarian Fader: 30.6%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x048624aa3b… entry 0.110 timing 0.48
0x1d90ba2893… entry 0.090
0x8e701ca531… entry 0.027
0x8340f91814… entry 0.012
0xea8911cea7… entry 0.189 timing 0.78
0x21b954b09a… entry 0.140
0x12a8c551dd… entry 0.128
0xe4b5162e9d… entry 0.033
0x6ac883e804… entry 0.046
0x18efeb055a… entry 0.050
0xb02ee8c4aa… entry 0.188 timing 0.47
0x799a5a151f… entry 0.026
0x8d5ca7aa21… entry 0.109 timing 0.45
0x5f78ca0f05… entry 0.027
0xf267aaa879… entry 0.151
0x21b9ec091e… entry 0.064
0x65b764aad4… entry 0.054
0x67b7f4fb84… entry 0.016
0x5bef0218b2… entry 0.050
0xd0f94375d8… entry 0.020

Bitcoin	$494k	64%	1209
Crypto	$267k	63%	719
Hit Price	$-3.56k	79%	19
Ethereum	$1.2k	100%	1

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x337e5c84…	$43.7k	$605k	7.2%
0x36912c98…	$37.8k	$531k	7.1%
0x4290a4aa…	$35.1k	$495k	7.1%
0x06cdac09…	$31.6k	$43.3k	73.1%
0xda9d509d…	$23.9k	$90.4k	26.4%
0xfffca2fc…	$22.8k	$35.6k	63.9%
0xe7033a6e…	$21.1k	$44.4k	47.6%
0x16e28fd6…	$18.9k	$57.8k	32.8%
0xdd528795…	$-17.6k	$37.1k	-47.4%
0xf32d38af…	$15.5k	$31.9k	48.6%
0xfbc75fa2…	$15.4k	$23.6k	65.3%
0xcfb402dd…	$14.8k	$82.1k	18.1%
0xf5eb64aa…	$-14.4k	$29.4k	-48.9%
0xafb914ea…	$-13.8k	$71.7k	-19.2%
0xc113dbbc…	$13.2k	$110k	12.0%

0xde17…0988

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xde17…0988

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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Day of week (UTC)

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