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0xdc87b19600813a4cadc51bf2761aebf87d18ea3b
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 7193 with median hold 2.4 hours, maker share only 75%.
Capital velocity 1.1 and held-to-resolution 45% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:44:08 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $20.4k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $5.21k | $40.6k | $-63.3k | $-80.8k |
| Win rate | 75% | 63% | 41% | 63% |
| ROI | 53% | 48% | -17% | -9% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.230 | -0.215 | -0.071 |
| Markets | 5 | 17 | 89 | 705 |
| Best day | $-6.95k | $38.6k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 36.58 | 3.60 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.3k | $2.54k | $-597 | $-104 |
| Median trade PnL | $511 | $949 | $-48 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | 12.19 | 2.16 | 0.93 | 0.47 |
| Largest win | $4.33k | $31.2k | $31.2k | $31.8k |
| Largest loss | $-146 | $-15k | $-35.3k | $-35.3k |
| Expectancy | $1.3k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $16.8k | $11k | $4.96k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.332 | -0.220 | -0.060 |
| Calmar | -0.686 | -0.686 | -0.686 | -0.686 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 47.5 | 47.5 | 47.5 | 47.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 79% | 43% | 12% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 85% | 38% | 21% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 52% | 31% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 3 | 6 | 38 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 79 | 410 | 2302 | 7193 |
| Unique markets | 5 | 17 | 89 | 705 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 100% | 84% |
| Avg entry price | 0.445 | 0.433 | 0.285 | 0.388 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.454 | 0.133 | 0.028 | 0.009 |
| Maker share (notional) | 91% | 82% | 82% | 75% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.3 | 18.0 | 6.3 | 14.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.2 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 3 | 34 | 336 |
| Disposition ratio | 2.36 | 194.80 | 2.10 | 1.03 |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 0% | 34% | 44% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 0% | 33% | 24% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.67 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 7% | 38% | 45% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1161 | 0.2091 | 0.2135 | 0.2091 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0805 | 0.1412 | 0.1473 | 0.1423 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.105 | 0.155 | 0.302 | 0.298 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-1 | $51 | $26 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 39.2% | 18.7% | 36.2% | 12.8% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0128 | 0.0128 | 0.0128 | 0.0128 |
| Alpha ($) | $-15 | $-15 | $-15 | $-15 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -43.5% | -43.5% | -43.5% | -43.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.448 | 0.448 | 0.448 | 0.448 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0026 | -0.0026 | -0.0026 | -0.0026 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 3.89e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $38.6k |
| $38.6k |
| Worst day | $-6.95k | $-14.9k | $-31.4k | $-31.4k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $2.54k |
| $-597 |
| $-104 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 13% |
| 22% |
| 2% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 50% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 10% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 86% | 44% | 51% | 40% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 67% | 48% | 65% | 39% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 50% | 95% | 10% |
| 12% |
| 17% |
| 9% |
| Spread capture | 0.0142 | 0.0414 | 0.0072 | -0.0052 |
| Inventory turnover | 79.00 | 410.00 | 2302.00 | 7193.00 |
| Capital velocity | 3.04 | 1.35 | 1.10 | 1.09 |
| Avg ticket | $376 | $279 | $175 | $130 |
| Median ticket | $38 | $28 | $7 | $10 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -48.10 | 9.97 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.37 |
| 1.81 |
| 1.83 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-67.6k | 69% | 296 |
| Tennis | $-13k | 58% | 403 |
| tyson fury | $-978 | 0% | 1 |
| Esports | $811 | 83% | 6 |
| Elections | $-332 | 0% | 1 |
| Trump | $121 | 57% | 7 |
| uncategorized | $111 | 100% | 12 |
| NYC Mayor | $-73 | 0% | 1 |
| Finance | $69 | 100% | 2 |
| Crypto | $68 | 67% | 3 |
| Politics | $54 | 43% | 7 |
| UK | $-45 | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x94e50623… | $-35.3k | $35.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x47a88a03… | $31.8k | $3.17k | 1004.1% |
| 0xecba7b1d… | $31.2k | $23.8k | 130.9% |
| 0x8ae3768a… | $-21.1k | $21.1k | -100.0% |
| 0x43496b33… | $-17.8k | $17.8k | -100.0% |
| 0xd7cf3f43… | $17.7k | $12.3k | 142.9% |
| 0x83bd3fb8… | $-15.3k | $15.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x082da0e2… | $-15k | $15k | -100.0% |
| 0x56a22fd1… | $-9.87k | $9.87k | -100.0% |
| 0xf1711e02… | $9.46k | $15.5k | 60.8% |
| 0x1bd449e1… | $-9.37k | $9.37k | -100.0% |
| 0xeca221d9… | $-8.91k | $8.91k | -100.0% |
| 0x2e10b28e… | $-8.87k | $8.87k | -100.0% |
| 0xb8642523… | $-8.7k | $8.7k | -100.0% |
| 0xfeea934c… | $8.2k | $1.8k | 455.6% |
| 67 |
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