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0xdc41c39b95453c943174f369926018f6963bdd7e
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 4.99 and disposition ratio 0.94, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 60.2), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:38:04 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $40k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $47.5k | $-73.3k | $-152k | $-377k |
| Win rate | 79% | 81% | 32% | 43% |
| ROI | 85% | -20% | -21% | -20% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.151 | -0.062 | -0.078 |
| Markets | 21 | 41 | 53 | 427 |
| Best day | $40.2k | $64.9k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 51.05 | 0.53 | 0.37 | 0.53 |
| Mean trade PnL | $3.39k | $-2.71k | $-1.83k | $-708 |
| Median trade PnL | $54 | $34 | $-667 | $-17 |
| Payoff ratio | 13.92 | 0.12 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| Largest win | $30.6k | $30.6k | $30.6k | $50.5k |
| Largest loss | $-869 | $-155k | $-155k | $-155k |
| Expectancy | $3.39k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $83.1k | $38.4k | $37.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.093 | -0.031 | -0.026 |
| Calmar | -0.758 | -0.758 | -0.758 | -0.758 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 110.5 | 110.5 | 110.5 | 110.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 64% | 65% | 47% | 13% |
| Concentration top-5 | 97% | 96% | 79% | 34% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 86% | 49% |
| Max win streak | 6 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 46 | 46 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 843 | 1671 | 4944 | 18006 |
| Unique markets | 21 | 41 | 53 | 427 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 100% | 15% |
| Avg entry price | 0.445 | 0.245 | 0.142 | 0.349 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.260 | 0.367 | 0.168 | 0.047 |
| Maker share (notional) | 34% | 77% | 87% | 44% |
| Two-sided share | 24% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.4 | 4.2 | 12.5 | 14.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 9.4 |
| Max concurrent | 17 | 23 | 31 | 395 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.63 | 0.83 | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Add-to-winner share | 62% | 60% | 62% | 44% |
| Average-down share | 30% | 33% | 31% | 49% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.25 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 61% | 50% | 49% | 92% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2491 | 0.1006 | 0.0662 | 0.1766 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2740 | 0.2475 | 0.0743 | 0.1918 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.844 | 0.874 | 0.932 | 0.892 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-3 | $1.04k | $753 | $110 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 16.3% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1411 | -0.1411 | -0.1411 | -0.1411 |
| Alpha ($) | $1.28k | $1.28k | $1.28k | $1.28k |
| Alpha ROI gap | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Contrarian score | -0.211 | -0.211 | -0.211 | -0.211 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.1314 | -0.1314 | -0.1314 | -0.1314 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 3.25e-7; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $64.9k |
| $86.8k |
| Worst day | $40.2k | $-192k | $-192k | $-322k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-2.71k |
| $-1.83k |
| $-708 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 100% |
| 4% |
| 8% |
| 4% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 80% | 86% | 42% | 16% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 49% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 49% | 26% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 70% | 5% |
| 15% |
| 19% |
| 20% |
| Spread capture | 0.1368 | 0.0799 | 0.0548 | 0.0161 |
| Inventory turnover | 843.00 | 1671.00 | 4944.00 | 18006.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.58 | 0.88 | 1.40 | 1.14 |
| Avg ticket | $105 | $189 | $205 | $120 |
| Median ticket | $18 | $18 | $13 | $15 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -1634.00 | -188.71 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 0.55 |
| 10.63 |
| 4.99 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-418k | 43% | 451 |
| Tennis | $38.3k | 31% | 35 |
| Esports | $2.52k | 59% | 44 |
| United States | $0 | N/A | 0 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9b6fef24… | $-155k | $174k | -89.4% |
| 0x77921b61… | $-129k | $129k | -100.0% |
| 0x1b60207d… | $50.5k | $49.6k | 101.7% |
| 0xe2867614… | $44.8k | $61.8k | 72.5% |
| 0x38292438… | $-43.4k | $43.7k | -99.1% |
| 0x9687a7d9… | $40.1k | $69k | 58.1% |
| 0x65ff7b5e… | $-39.9k | $39.9k | -100.0% |
| 0x43ec63bd… | $-36.6k | $86.3k | -42.4% |
| 0xe4be3dcb… | $-32.6k | $33k | -98.8% |
| 0xb96585ac… | $30k | $120k | 25.0% |
| 0x88a7e647… | $29.7k | $38.9k | 76.3% |
| 0x7b52405a… | $-26.7k | $27.2k | -98.2% |
| 0xae6976b8… | $-24.9k | $24.9k | -100.0% |
| 0xd0a0614e… | $-20k | $20k | -100.0% |
| 0x1558c554… | $-13.5k | $13.5k | -100.0% |
| 4995 |
| 4995 |
| 4995 |
| 4995 |