0xdb27…bce3

0xdb27bbdd185b18be3319097e1fc40300bbecbce3

Conviction HolderGrade Farchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Conviction Holder because it concentrates in few markets and holds for long stretches.

Median hold is 7.8 days with held-to-resolution 95% and portfolio HHI 0.15.

Trade count stays relatively low (120) while add-to-winner share is 35%, favoring concentrating rather than spraying fills.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 14:35:27 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$-23k

Open PnL

$4.87k

Max drawdown

$116k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$31k	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$0	$-29k
Win rate	N/A	N/A	N/A	70%
ROI	N/A	N/A	N/A	-19%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.556	0.215	-0.037
Markets	0	0	3	20
Best day	$0	$20.6k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.70
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-2.9k
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$2.6k
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.30
Largest win	N/A	N/A	N/A	$27.1k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-52.4k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$7.96k	$4.46k	$15.9k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	0.378	-0.034
Calmar	-0.258	-0.258	-0.258	-0.258
Drawdown duration (days)	38.5	38.5	38.5	38.5

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	N/A	32%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	N/A	97%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	N/A	100%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	4
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	1

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	0	3	120
Unique markets	0	0	3	20
Active days ratio	N/A	N/A	43%	55%
Avg entry price	N/A	N/A	0.007	0.205
Portfolio HHI	N/A	N/A	0.664	0.151
Maker share (notional)	N/A	N/A	0%	4%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	N/A	269.4	260.0
Holding time median (h)	N/A	N/A	269.4	187.4
Max concurrent	N/A	N/A	2	20
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.11
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	N/A	35%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	N/A	35%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	67%	95%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2094
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2493
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	0.823	0.866
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$0
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	N/A	-0.0%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0717	-0.0717	-0.0717	-0.0717
Alpha ($)	$-2.47k	$-2.47k	$-2.47k	$-2.47k
Alpha ROI gap	2.7%	2.7%	2.7%	2.7%
Contrarian score	0.225	0.225	0.225	0.225
Post-fill drift	0.0016	0.0016	0.0016	0.0016
Post-fill candles (mean)	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Conviction Holder: 55.9%
Scalper: 38.6%
Tilted Gambler: 37.4%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%
News Sniper: 34.1%

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0xdb27…bce3

0xdb27bbdd185b18be3319097e1fc40300bbecbce3

Conviction HolderGrade Farchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Conviction Holder because it concentrates in few markets and holds for long stretches.

Median hold is 7.8 days with held-to-resolution 95% and portfolio HHI 0.15.

Trade count stays relatively low (120) while add-to-winner share is 35%, favoring concentrating rather than spraying fills.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$31k

N/A

Realized PnL

$-29k

Win rate

N/A

70%

ROI

N/A

-19%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.556

0.215

-0.037

Markets

Best day

$20.6k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

0.70

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$-2.9k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$2.6k

Payoff ratio

N/A

0.30

Largest win

N/A

$27.1k

Largest loss

N/A

$-52.4k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$7.96k

$4.46k

$15.9k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.378

-0.034

Calmar

-0.258

Drawdown duration (days)

38.5

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

32%

Concentration top-5

N/A

97%

Concentration top-10

N/A

100%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

120

Unique markets

Active days ratio

N/A

43%

55%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.007

0.205

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.664

0.151

Maker share (notional)

N/A

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

269.4

260.0

Holding time median (h)

N/A

269.4

187.4

Max concurrent

N/A

Disposition ratio

N/A

0.11

Add-to-winner share

N/A

35%

Average-down share

N/A

35%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

67%

95%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.2094

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.2493

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.823

0.866

Exit quality ($)

N/A

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

-0.0%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0717

Alpha ($)

$-2.47k

Alpha ROI gap

2.7%

Contrarian score

0.225

Post-fill drift

0.0016

Post-fill candles (mean)

6.0

Post-fill observations

Sports	$-36.2k	67%	9
Soccer	$7.2k	100%	1

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xb6b3d7a2…	$-51.8k	$54.8k	-94.5%
0x713641f7…	$-35.6k	$52.1k	-68.3%
0x0923f4cd…	$27.1k	$23k	117.4%
0x9bb9f7c7…	$19k	$14k	135.7%
0x8df5a425…	$7.2k	$2.8k	257.1%
0xcc5ffe6f…	$4.61k	$5.43k	84.9%
0x293ed83f…	$416	$884	47.1%

0xdb27…bce3

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

0xdb27…bce3

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

Fills per week