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0xdaef2be2a19ad331737d06545f85615b094554e9
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 29657 with median hold 2.8 hours, maker share only 62%.
Capital velocity 1.6 and held-to-resolution 53% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:37:26 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $11.3k | $29.9k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $11.6k | $90.3k | $322k | $898k |
| Win rate | 53% | 59% | 63% | 66% |
| ROI | 13% | 22% | 22% | 20% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.283 | -0.034 | 0.077 |
| Markets | 10 | 59 | 277 | 1520 |
| Best day | $-187 | $14k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1.28 | 1.71 | 1.93 | 2.43 |
| Mean trade PnL | $771 | $1.29k | $1.22k | $649 |
| Median trade PnL | $874 | $1.3k | $1.07k | $43 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.12 | 1.21 | 1.12 | 1.27 |
| Largest win | $11.3k | $15.6k | $19.4k | $32.7k |
| Largest loss | $-12.5k | $-12.5k | $-29.2k | $-29.2k |
| Expectancy | $771 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $9.31k | $11.5k | $5.91k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.392 | -0.037 | 0.082 |
| Calmar | 2.258 | 2.258 | 2.258 | 2.258 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 38.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 18% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 73% | 27% | 13% | 8% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 48% | 21% | 13% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 4 | 10 | 33 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 2 | 3 | 64 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 310 | 1529 | 6263 | 29657 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 59 | 277 | 1520 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 103% | 74% |
| Avg entry price | 0.500 | 0.464 | 0.439 | 0.462 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.162 | 0.028 | 0.007 | 0.004 |
| Maker share (notional) | 59% | 59% | 52% | 62% |
| Two-sided share | 70% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.2 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 166.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.8 |
| Max concurrent | 6 | 38 | 177 | 841 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.48 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 1.94 |
| Add-to-winner share | 13% | 28% | 30% | 53% |
| Average-down share | 69% | 67% | 62% | 41% |
| Tilt ratio | 2.47 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 67% | 56% | 58% | 53% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1919 | 0.1707 | 0.1656 | 0.1361 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2494 | 0.1965 | 0.1831 | 0.1772 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.841 | 0.799 | 0.864 | 0.609 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $9 | $-76 | $-150 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 13.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0033 | 0.0033 | 0.0033 | 0.0033 |
| Alpha ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| Contrarian score | 0.023 | 0.023 | 0.023 | 0.023 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0361 | -0.0361 | -0.0361 | -0.0361 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 44 |
| $23k |
| $36.7k |
| Worst day | $-187 | $-8.44k | $-28k | $-28k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $1.29k |
| $1.22k |
| $649 |
| <0.10 |
| 50% |
| 17% |
| 13% |
| 28% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 33% | 44% | 45% | 54% | 13% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 75% | 60% | 72% | 64% | 28% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 67% | 86% | 75% | 74% | 33% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 87% | 90% | 26% |
| 51% |
| 32% |
| 20% |
| Spread capture | -0.0223 | -0.0090 | 0.0054 | -0.0098 |
| Inventory turnover | 310.00 | 1529.00 | 6263.00 | 29657.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.44 | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.58 |
| Avg ticket | $426 | $336 | $306 | $238 |
| Median ticket | $40 | $30 | $19 | $12 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -76.40 | 25.38 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2.95 |
| 3.44 |
| 1.78 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $436k | 65% | 696 |
| Esports | $178k | 60% | 282 |
| Iran | $55.5k | 94% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | $44.6k | 86% | 22 |
| Parent For Derivative | $36.8k | 59% | 32 |
| Trump | $36k | 83% | 24 |
| 2026 NBA Playoffs | $-12.5k | 67% | 3 |
| Reza Pahlavi | $12.2k | 100% | 3 |
| Culture | $11.2k | 80% | 15 |
| Trump-Zelenskyy | $10.8k | 100% | 1 |
| Gaza | $8.41k | 67% | 3 |
| Politics | $7.82k | 68% | 62 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcc5ffe6f… | $32.7k | $13.7k | 238.3% |
| 0x4cdb2e75… | $24.4k | $32.7k | 74.6% |
| 0x61b66d02… | $22.7k | $12.8k | 176.6% |
| 0x6114a8a3… | $19.4k | $13.9k | 139.3% |
| 0xd86a8160… | $18.9k | $11.1k | 170.9% |
| 0xd4bbf7f6… | $15k | $8.87k | 169.6% |
| 0xb77a9010… | $13.9k | $17.3k | 80.4% |
| 0x13b1bfb4… | $-13.5k | $37.5k | -36.0% |
| 0x52671a73… | $13.1k | $13.3k | 98.6% |
| 0x9d407ed3… | $12.6k | $7.02k | 180.0% |
| 0x0db7232e… | $-11.7k | $12.9k | -90.1% |
| 0x2f1d8bdb… | $11.3k | $11.7k | 97.1% |
| 0xe5466727… | $10.8k | $10.4k | 104.2% |
| 0xd6a5a44e… | $10.6k | $4.4k | 240.6% |
| 0xdbf0371c… | $-10.3k | $11.1k | -92.4% |
| 44 |
| 44 |
| 44 |