0xd6ee…5513

0xd6eeaf0258a989f2c258e14d5260521e00cc5513

News SniperGrade FStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 25 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.95 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 4.1 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 14:22:35 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$12.3k

Open PnL

$-6.23k

Max drawdown

$1.18k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$1.43k	N/A	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$8.16k	$22.3k	$30.1k	$34.7k
Win rate	100%	100%	100%	94%
ROI	1257%	603%	541%	250%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.552	0.356	0.157
Markets	60	410	675	733
Best day	$1.37k	$2.57k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	229.05
Mean trade PnL	$742	$314	$264	$243
Median trade PnL	$404	$142	$116	$110
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	14.32
Largest win	$3.23k	$3.23k	$3.23k	$3.23k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-50
Expectancy	$742

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$1.33k	$729	$335
Sortino (daily)	N/A	0.545	0.563	0.369
Calmar	10.555	10.555	10.555	10.555
Drawdown duration (days)	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	40%	15%	11%	9%
Concentration top-5	82%	39%	29%	25%
Concentration top-10	99%	52%	41%	38%
Max win streak	11	71	114	120
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	2

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	318	1169	1545	3129
Unique markets	60	410	675	733
Active days ratio	200%	114%	100%	11%
Avg entry price	0.072	0.086	0.093	0.099
Portfolio HHI	0.046	0.006	0.003	0.073
Maker share (notional)	12%	6%	6%	51%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	5.1	4.1	4.1	13.5
Holding time median (h)	4.6	4.5	4.5	4.1
Max concurrent	53	385	643	665
Disposition ratio	1.43	0.90	0.93	0.84
Add-to-winner share	59%	61%	63%	63%
Average-down share	14%	19%	19%	19%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	86%	94%	95%	90%
Brier (weighted)	0.7671	0.5386	0.5231	0.2937
Brier (unweighted)	0.7383	0.5921	0.5593	0.5019
Entry timing mean	0.995	0.995	0.987	0.954
Exit quality ($)	$-0	$-0	$-2	$-3
Exit quality ROI gap	-0.2%	-0.0%	-3.8%	3.1%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0695	-0.0695	-0.0695	-0.0695
Alpha ($)	$37	$37	$37	$37
Alpha ROI gap	71.7%	71.7%	71.7%	71.7%
Contrarian score	-0.052	-0.052	-0.052	-0.052
Post-fill drift	-0.0234	-0.0234	-0.0234	-0.0234
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 90.6%
Scalper: 53.1%
Conviction Holder: 36.6%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%
Tilted Gambler: 34.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 5.29e-68; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x205f7ba324… entry 0.149 timing 1.00
0x84ab44bf32… entry 0.100 timing 1.00
0xd70eb68c11… entry 0.030 timing 1.00
0x63bdb43910… entry 0.110 timing 1.00
0x0a4007670d… entry 0.110 timing 1.00
0x9279e55c36… entry 0.270 timing 1.00
0x5e49ac8c9d… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
0xff5ee1f9fa… entry 0.300 timing 1.00
0xe481f609fb… entry 0.060 timing 1.00
0x2cad72bfd3… entry 0.240 timing 0.99
0x111e09f1c6… entry 0.180 timing 0.99
0x5b61d066a7… entry 0.289 timing 0.99
0x0292da2904… entry 0.240 timing 0.92
0xb40ecd5af7… entry 0.110 timing 1.00
0xe6ad36564e… entry 0.100 timing 1.00
0xa08555281e… entry 0.045 timing 1.00
0x1863b8dca1… entry 0.150 timing 1.00
0xd40262faf0… entry 0.257 timing 0.99
0xe5457a8fd7… entry 0.080 timing 1.00

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0xd6ee…5513

0xd6eeaf0258a989f2c258e14d5260521e00cc5513

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 25 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.95 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 4.1 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$1.43k

N/A

Realized PnL

$8.16k

$22.3k

$30.1k

$34.7k

Win rate

100%

94%

ROI

1257%

603%

541%

250%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.552

0.356

0.157

Markets

410

675

733

Best day

$1.37k

$2.57k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

229.05

Mean trade PnL

$742

$314

$264

$243

Median trade PnL

$404

$142

$116

$110

Payoff ratio

N/A

14.32

Largest win

$3.23k

Largest loss

N/A

$-50

Expectancy

$742

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$1.33k

$729

$335

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.545

0.563

0.369

Calmar

10.555

Drawdown duration (days)

3.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

40%

15%

11%

Concentration top-5

82%

39%

29%

25%

Concentration top-10

99%

52%

41%

38%

Max win streak

114

120

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

318

1169

1545

3129

Unique markets

410

675

733

Active days ratio

200%

114%

100%

11%

Avg entry price

0.072

0.086

0.093

0.099

Portfolio HHI

0.046

0.006

0.003

0.073

Maker share (notional)

12%

51%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

5.1

4.1

13.5

Holding time median (h)

4.6

4.5

4.1

Max concurrent

385

643

665

Disposition ratio

1.43

0.90

0.93

0.84

Add-to-winner share

59%

61%

63%

Average-down share

14%

19%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

86%

94%

95%

90%

Brier (weighted)

0.7671

0.5386

0.5231

0.2937

Brier (unweighted)

0.7383

0.5921

0.5593

0.5019

Entry timing mean

0.995

0.987

0.954

Exit quality ($)

$-0

$-2

$-3

Exit quality ROI gap

-0.2%

-0.0%

-3.8%

3.1%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0695

Alpha ($)

$37

Alpha ROI gap

71.7%

Contrarian score

-0.052

Post-fill drift

-0.0234

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.2

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 90.6%

Scalper: 53.1%

Conviction Holder: 36.6%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%

Tilted Gambler: 34.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 5.29e-68; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x205f7ba324… entry 0.149 timing 1.00
0x84ab44bf32… entry 0.100 timing 1.00
0xd70eb68c11… entry 0.030 timing 1.00
0x63bdb43910… entry 0.110 timing 1.00
0x0a4007670d… entry 0.110 timing 1.00
0x9279e55c36… entry 0.270 timing 1.00
0x5e49ac8c9d… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
0xff5ee1f9fa… entry 0.300 timing 1.00
0xe481f609fb… entry 0.060 timing 1.00
0x2cad72bfd3… entry 0.240 timing 0.99
0x111e09f1c6… entry 0.180 timing 0.99
0x5b61d066a7… entry 0.289 timing 0.99
0x0292da2904… entry 0.240 timing 0.92
0xb40ecd5af7… entry 0.110 timing 1.00
0xe6ad36564e… entry 0.100 timing 1.00
0xa08555281e… entry 0.045 timing 1.00
0x1863b8dca1… entry 0.150 timing 1.00
0xd40262faf0… entry 0.257 timing 0.99
0xe5457a8fd7… entry 0.080 timing 1.00

Sports	$31.5k	95%	124
Esports	$3.06k	83%	6
uncategorized	$128	100%	1
Soccer	$21	50%	2
Geopolitics	$8	100%	1
Tennis	$7	100%	2
NFL Playoffs	$0	N/A	0

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xd70eb68c…	$3.23k	$100	3233.4%
0x7eb71461…	$2k	$100	1997.4%
0xb8b55544…	$1.43k	$43	3300.1%
0xfd4369dd…	$1.14k	$5.9k	19.4%
0x02d5c041…	$1.08k	$50	2172.7%
0x04a4da1e…	$965	$35	2757.3%
0x4896d69a…	$950	$50	1900.0%
0xd42c392e…	$920	$110	836.4%
0x4d0e29ee…	$880	$110	800.0%
0x4f1d734e…	$874	$30	2928.6%
0x9aeb0b5e…	$820	$33	2476.9%
0x14a3fec4…	$660	$20	3299.0%
0x3c0b6ebb…	$613	$78	784.3%
0x238fa8b1…	$588	$50	1176.3%
0xba279bf7…	$575	$50	1150.0%

0xd6ee…5513

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xd6ee…5513

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

Fills per week