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0xd6a3…9489 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xd6a3…9489
0xd6a3f0ec6c4a8ad680d580610c82ca57ff139489
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 72% and two-sided activity is 60%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 18831.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (47%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:35:57 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $493k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $9.13M |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 72% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 26% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.036 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 392 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.05 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $913 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $40 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.55 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $117k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-59.3k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $54.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.026 |
| Calmar | 0.764 | 0.764 | 0.764 | 0.764 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 121.5 | 121.5 | 121.5 | 121.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 58 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18831 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 392 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 32% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.472 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.015 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 72% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.3 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 248 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.52 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 30% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 47% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1442 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1870 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.294 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-789 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 39.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0895 | -0.0895 | -0.0895 | -0.0895 |
| Alpha ($) | $-820 | $-820 | $-820 | $-820 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -46.8% | -46.8% | -46.8% | -46.8% |
| Contrarian score | -0.194 | -0.194 | -0.194 | -0.194 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0393 | -0.0393 | -0.0393 | -0.0393 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0206 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18831.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.09 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -5634.30 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $5.98M | 80% | 6681 |
| Tennis | $3.07M | 55% | 3099 |
| uncategorized | $80.4k | 67% | 85 |
| UFC 325 | $-701 | 0% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x9b51d021… | $136k | $66.3k | 206.0% |
| 0x07439d1e… | $70.3k | $109k | 64.3% |
| 0xca2e341f… | $67.5k | $42.4k | 159.1% |
| 0x10832cf8… | $65.6k | $113k | 58.1% |
| 0xe1b97d13… | $61.4k | $61.9k | 99.3% |
| 0x718dba92… | $61k | $63.1k | 96.7% |
| 0xba1c98b1… | $60k | $207k | 29.0% |
| 0xb7127680… | $-59.3k | $174k | -34.1% |
| 0x261b1f59… | $52.6k | $43.9k | 119.8% |
| 0xdf99b426… | $49.7k | $109k | 45.8% |
| 0x181d8ea1… | $47.6k | $47.3k | 100.7% |
| 0x7e0a944a… | $47.5k | $179k | 26.6% |
| 0xd9f690b3… | $47.5k | $142k | 33.4% |
| 0x41f885db… | $47.3k | $47.5k | 99.6% |
| 0x7495c874… | $47.2k | $28.7k | 164.7% |