0xd689…6ec7

0xd68960807da73e86457c751ebc9d4d1ee2236ec7

ScalperGrade FTilt warningStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: Tilted Gambler

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 21482 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 57%.

Capital velocity 2.2 and held-to-resolution 42% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 14:35:18 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$10.6k

Open PnL

$-23.8k

Max drawdown

$4.98k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$1.88k	N/A	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$8.09k	$44.8k	$97k	$97k
Win rate	74%	58%	56%	56%
ROI	162%	82%	81%	81%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.809	0.348	0.348
Markets	89	512	1505	1505
Best day	$2.1k	$3.15k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	13.26	4.53	4.10	4.10
Mean trade PnL	$188	$137	$106	$106
Median trade PnL	$169	$94	$46	$46
Payoff ratio	4.56	3.24	3.20	3.20
Largest win	$720	$1.73k	$1.73k	$1.73k
Largest loss	$-111	$-388	$-1.11k	$-1.11k
Expectancy	$188

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$1.32k	$1.67k	$1.67k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	0.248	0.248
Calmar	2.105	2.105	2.105	2.105
Drawdown duration (days)	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	8%	2%	1%	1%
Concentration top-5	30%	8%	4%	4%
Concentration top-10	51%	13%	7%	7%
Max win streak	10	10	17	17
Max loss streak	2	4	11	11

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	942	6650	21482	21482
Unique markets	89	512	1505	1505
Active days ratio	200%	100%	100%	100%
Avg entry price	0.333	0.311	0.322	0.322
Portfolio HHI	0.032	0.004	0.002	0.002
Maker share (notional)	58%	45%	57%	57%
Two-sided share	6%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
Holding time median (h)	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Max concurrent	43	263	674	674
Disposition ratio	0.21	0.81	1.01	1.01
Add-to-winner share	63%	79%	79%	79%
Average-down share	37%	21%	21%	21%
Tilt ratio	3.10

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	47%	49%	42%	42%
Brier (weighted)	0.3882	0.2868	0.2751	0.2751
Brier (unweighted)	0.3411	0.2633	0.2655	0.2655
Entry timing mean	0.999	0.998	0.992	0.992
Exit quality ($)	$-27	$-12	$-6	$-6
Exit quality ROI gap	-9.9%	-6.0%	-4.2%	-4.2%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.1763	-0.1763	-0.1763	-0.1763
Alpha ($)	$-17	$-17	$-17	$-17
Alpha ROI gap	-43.3%	-43.3%	-43.3%	-43.3%
Contrarian score	0.030	0.030	0.030	0.030
Post-fill drift	0.2625	0.2625	0.2625	0.2625
Post-fill candles (mean)	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 67.7%
Tilted Gambler: 65.1%
News Sniper: 63.0%
Conviction Holder: 24.3%
Longshot Hunter: 19.2%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.61e-36; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x2b81225ac1… entry 0.278 timing 1.00
0x9e80c42361… entry 0.265 timing 1.00
0x3e6f5f7d7c… entry 0.136 timing 1.00
0x66bf012e12… entry 0.120 timing 1.00
0x6f62593301… entry 0.080 timing 0.87
0x4e3f68e094… entry 0.180 timing 1.00
0x69193efa3e… entry 0.241 timing 1.00
0xf3017fa180… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
0x71d068d25c… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
0xd4234bfe82… entry 0.228 timing 1.00
0x378e83e222… entry 0.270 timing 1.00
0xec6c00569d… entry 0.241 timing 1.00
0xa2137d0e8f… entry 0.272 timing 1.00
0xb0ea622322… entry 0.250 timing 1.00
0xc0e61328ba… entry 0.220 timing 1.00
0xdbcc4cafa7… entry 0.210 timing 1.00
0x3fc1e1689e… entry 0.250 timing 1.00
0xa814da17ab… entry 0.086 timing 1.00
0xf8b7e36e0a… entry 0.290 timing 1.00

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0xd689…6ec7

0xd68960807da73e86457c751ebc9d4d1ee2236ec7

Secondary: Tilted Gambler

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 21482 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 57%.

Capital velocity 2.2 and held-to-resolution 42% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$1.88k

N/A

Realized PnL

$8.09k

$44.8k

$97k

Win rate

74%

58%

56%

ROI

162%

82%

81%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.809

0.348

Markets

512

1505

Best day

$2.1k

$3.15k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

13.26

4.53

4.10

Mean trade PnL

$188

$137

$106

Median trade PnL

$169

$94

$46

Payoff ratio

4.56

3.24

3.20

Largest win

$720

$1.73k

Largest loss

$-111

$-388

$-1.11k

Expectancy

$188

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$1.32k

$1.67k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.248

Calmar

2.105

Drawdown duration (days)

8.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

Concentration top-5

30%

Concentration top-10

51%

13%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

942

6650

21482

Unique markets

512

1505

Active days ratio

200%

100%

Avg entry price

0.333

0.311

0.322

Portfolio HHI

0.032

0.004

0.002

Maker share (notional)

58%

45%

57%

Two-sided share

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

0.1

Holding time median (h)

0.0

Max concurrent

263

674

Disposition ratio

0.21

0.81

1.01

Add-to-winner share

63%

79%

Average-down share

37%

21%

Tilt ratio

3.10

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

47%

49%

42%

Brier (weighted)

0.3882

0.2868

0.2751

Brier (unweighted)

0.3411

0.2633

0.2655

Entry timing mean

0.999

0.998

0.992

Exit quality ($)

$-27

$-12

$-6

Exit quality ROI gap

-9.9%

-6.0%

-4.2%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.1763

Alpha ($)

$-17

Alpha ROI gap

-43.3%

Contrarian score

0.030

Post-fill drift

0.2625

Post-fill candles (mean)

2.4

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 67.7%

Tilted Gambler: 65.1%

News Sniper: 63.0%

Conviction Holder: 24.3%

Longshot Hunter: 19.2%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.61e-36; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x2b81225ac1… entry 0.278 timing 1.00
0x9e80c42361… entry 0.265 timing 1.00
0x3e6f5f7d7c… entry 0.136 timing 1.00
0x66bf012e12… entry 0.120 timing 1.00
0x6f62593301… entry 0.080 timing 0.87
0x4e3f68e094… entry 0.180 timing 1.00
0x69193efa3e… entry 0.241 timing 1.00
0xf3017fa180… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
0x71d068d25c… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
0xd4234bfe82… entry 0.228 timing 1.00
0x378e83e222… entry 0.270 timing 1.00
0xec6c00569d… entry 0.241 timing 1.00
0xa2137d0e8f… entry 0.272 timing 1.00
0xb0ea622322… entry 0.250 timing 1.00
0xc0e61328ba… entry 0.220 timing 1.00
0xdbcc4cafa7… entry 0.210 timing 1.00
0x3fc1e1689e… entry 0.250 timing 1.00
0xa814da17ab… entry 0.086 timing 1.00
0xf8b7e36e0a… entry 0.290 timing 1.00

Up or Down	$83.7k	56%	872
Sports	$11.5k	62%	34
Tennis	$1.79k	71%	7
uncategorized	$3	20%	5

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x6f625933…	$1.73k	$151	1150.0%
0x99f0c39e…	$1.48k	$908	162.7%
0x9f0b598d…	$1.31k	$539	242.4%
0xb8c4eb2b…	$1.14k	$960	118.8%
0xc51a0833…	$-1.11k	$1.72k	-64.7%
0x6d621f9a…	$862	$700	123.3%
0x4d765b0b…	$855	$920	92.9%
0xb0be7908…	$850	$150	566.7%
0xe6f040d2…	$850	$150	566.7%
0xa2137d0e…	$801	$300	267.2%
0x02103f04…	$801	$1.37k	58.5%
0xf77a1058…	$799	$500	159.8%
0xa5cb7882…	$777	$380	204.4%
0xb2323d30…	$737	$471	156.4%
0xcbd1af6a…	$725	$416	174.3%

0xd689…6ec7

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xd689…6ec7

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

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