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0xd5757edeb1b4978691a12a87783f7956d245e017
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.09 of market life) and 73% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (30.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:18:33 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.12k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $6.19k | $8.33k | $8.33k | $8.34k |
| Win rate | 83% | 89% | 89% | 90% |
| ROI | 55% | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.179 | 0.090 | 0.040 |
| Markets | 7 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| Best day | $-44 | $4.75k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 2539.24 | 3415.08 | 3415.08 | 3417.72 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.03k | $926 | $926 | $834 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.03k | $828 | $828 | $821 |
| Payoff ratio | 507.85 | 426.89 | 426.89 | 379.75 |
| Largest win | $2.08k | $2.08k | $2.08k | $2.08k |
| Largest loss | $-2 | $-2 | $-2 | $-2 |
| Expectancy | $1.03k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.08k | $961 | $417 |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.177 | 0.041 | 0.011 |
| Calmar | 1.206 | 1.206 | 1.206 | 1.206 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 154.0 | 154.0 | 154.0 | 154.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 34% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 16 | 25 | 25 | 30 |
| Unique markets | 7 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 100% | 3% |
| Avg entry price | 0.511 | 0.506 | 0.506 | 0.506 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.243 | 0.158 | 0.158 | 0.157 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Max concurrent | 5 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| Disposition ratio | 2.94 | 2.21 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| Add-to-winner share | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Average-down share | 67% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.89 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 67% | 75% | 75% | 73% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1016 | 0.1289 | 0.1289 | 0.1289 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1336 | 0.1697 | 0.1697 | 0.1697 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.093 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.093 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-2 | $-2 | $-2 | $-2 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0544 | 0.0544 | 0.0544 | 0.0544 |
| Alpha ($) | $186 | $186 | $186 | $186 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 41.4% | 41.4% | 41.4% | 41.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.100 | -0.100 | -0.100 | -0.100 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0552 | 0.0552 | 0.0552 | 0.0552 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $4.75k |
| $4.75k |
| Worst day | $-44 | $-2.1k | $-2.1k | $-2.1k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $926 |
| $926 |
| $834 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 34% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 65% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 16.00 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 30.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.79 | 2.79 |
| Avg ticket | $1.74k | $1.49k | $1.49k | $1.25k |
| Median ticket | $1.25k | $1k | $1k | $996 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.21 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 1.03 |
| 1.03 |
| 1.24 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $8.34k | 90% | 10 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8f123c0… | $2.08k | $2.5k | 83.2% |
| 0x0443744d… | $1.46k | $4k | 36.6% |
| 0x142d3a1b… | $1.24k | $2.3k | 53.9% |
| 0x4508a97e… | $1.03k | $721 | 143.4% |
| 0xf544a216… | $828 | $1k | 82.8% |
| 0xd082d419… | $814 | $2k | 40.7% |
| 0xa3378af0… | $594 | $402 | 147.6% |
| 0x67f00df8… | $275 | $469 | 58.7% |
| 0x57fe540c… | $6 | $16 | 40.0% |
| 16 |
| 16 |
| 16 |
| 16 |