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0xd3faf1906cc31e75d1dfa0d7b57e8f97d33da26c
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Contrarian Fader because fills lean against recent price moves and it averages down.
Contrarian score is -0.52 (negative = buying against recent moves) with average-down share 61%.
Holds stretch longer (median 2.6 hours) while waiting for reversion.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:18:31 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.96k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $9.75k | $25.9k | $72k | $854k |
| Win rate | 100% | 92% | 95% | 81% |
| ROI | 75% | 80% | 81% | 56% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.414 | 0.102 | -0.007 |
| Markets | 8 | 23 | 95 | 427 |
| Best day | $48 | $9.75k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 1268.26 | 83.26 | 5.85 |
| Mean trade PnL | $2.44k | $1.99k | $1.71k | $1.52k |
| Median trade PnL | $2.24k | $1.98k | $1.62k | $1.53k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 105.69 | 4.16 | 1.42 |
| Largest win | $3.82k | $4.91k | $4.91k | $18.4k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-20 | $-855 | $-13.6k |
| Expectancy | $2.44k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $4.29k | $2.81k | $3.87k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.106 | -0.006 |
| Calmar | -0.244 | -0.244 | -0.244 | -0.244 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 167.5 | 167.5 | 167.5 | 167.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 39% | 19% | 7% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 68% | 27% | 6% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 47% | 9% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 7 | 32 | 32 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 9 | 49 | 219 | 4000 |
| Unique markets | 8 | 23 | 95 | 427 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 105% | 43% |
| Avg entry price | 0.464 | 0.495 | 0.501 | 0.489 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.185 | 0.063 | 0.017 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 16% | 9% | 12% | 44% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.0 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Max concurrent | 7 | 19 | 86 | 227 |
| Disposition ratio | 3.56 | 0.85 | 0.97 | 0.49 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 100% | 80% | 27% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 3% | 61% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 86% | 82% | 90% | 53% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1808 | 0.2105 | 0.2211 | 0.2132 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2157 | 0.2348 | 0.2436 | 0.2351 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.728 | 0.719 | 0.605 | 0.748 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $37 | $-91 | $-98 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 8.1% | -0.6% | -1.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0040 | -0.0040 | -0.0040 | -0.0040 |
| Alpha ($) | $-942 | $-942 | $-942 | $-942 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -10.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% |
| Contrarian score | -0.520 | -0.520 | -0.520 | -0.520 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0010 | -0.0010 | -0.0010 | -0.0010 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 1.15e-8; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $9.75k |
| $42.7k |
| Worst day | $48 | $-4.25k | $-4.79k | $-25.5k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $1.99k |
| $1.71k |
| $1.52k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 66% | 7% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 91% | 94% | 82% | 64% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 28% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 1% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0219 |
| Inventory turnover | 9.00 | 49.00 | 219.00 | 4000.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.46 | 1.60 | 1.83 | 0.68 |
| Avg ticket | $2.11k | $1.06k | $745 | $259 |
| Median ticket | $1k | $265 | $234 | $11 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -21.50 | -29.84 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2.46 |
| 2.20 |
| 3.94 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $686k | 80% | 418 |
| Esports | $121k | 84% | 94 |
| Tennis | $46.3k | 85% | 40 |
| Crypto | $-5k | 0% | 1 |
| UFC 325 | $4.03k | 100% | 2 |
| eu | $1.71k | 100% | 1 |
| Politics | $818 | 100% | 1 |
| Gaza | $-618 | 0% | 1 |
| Trump | $-559 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc3406b12… | $18.4k | $21.6k | 85.1% |
| 0x24a52085… | $14.1k | $15.9k | 88.7% |
| 0x8c1142ca… | $-13.6k | $13.6k | -100.0% |
| 0x5ee8c736… | $13k | $3.04k | 426.3% |
| 0xd3a4f4cf… | $11.1k | $10.6k | 104.2% |
| 0xa74fcf91… | $9.39k | $6.01k | 156.4% |
| 0xc296b13a… | $-8.88k | $10k | -88.8% |
| 0x90a14808… | $8.85k | $6.15k | 143.9% |
| 0x58d63ee2… | $8.6k | $11.4k | 75.4% |
| 0x4ba2f1c8… | $8.2k | $11.8k | 69.5% |
| 0x3a7faad0… | $7.49k | $5k | 149.7% |
| 0xac7ad2e5… | $7.37k | $10k | 73.7% |
| 0x263769b5… | $7.27k | $10k | 72.4% |
| 0x0bb1eaa5… | $6.97k | $10k | 69.5% |
| 0x5810b974… | $6.8k | $10.2k | 66.7% |
| 468 |
| 468 |
| 468 |
| 468 |