0xd38b…5029

0xd38b71f3e8ed1af71983e5c309eac3dfa9b35029

Tilted GamblerGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 6.52 and disposition ratio 0.74, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 66.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 14:18:31 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$2.67M

Open PnL

$-4.45M

Max drawdown

$497k

Underwater days

196

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	∞
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$0	∞
Win rate	N/A	N/A	N/A	98%
ROI	N/A	N/A	N/A	112%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.124
Markets	0	0	0	549
Best day	N/A	$0

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	65.25
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$30.7k
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$15.6k
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.63
Largest win	N/A	N/A	N/A	$312k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-81.6k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	N/A	$65.2k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	∞	0.112
Calmar	5.390	5.390	5.390	5.390
Drawdown duration (days)	195.5	195.5	195.5	195.5

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	N/A	3%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	N/A	14%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	N/A	23%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	176
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	4

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	0	0	2121
Unique markets	0	0	0	549
Active days ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	54%
Avg entry price	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.431
Portfolio HHI	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.005
Maker share (notional)	N/A	N/A	N/A	4%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	5.8
Holding time median (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	5.2
Max concurrent	N/A	N/A	N/A	533
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.74
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	N/A	49%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	N/A	24%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	N/A	97%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2608
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2667
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.854
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-0
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	N/A	-0.0%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0703	0.0703	0.0703	0.0703
Alpha ($)	$-272	$-272	$-272	$-272
Alpha ROI gap	-5.9%	-5.9%	-5.9%	-5.9%
Contrarian score	-0.192	-0.192	-0.192	-0.192
Post-fill drift	0.0304	0.0304	0.0304	0.0304
Post-fill candles (mean)	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
Scalper: 65.6%
News Sniper: 59.3%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%
Contrarian Fader: 32.5%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 5.02e-15; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x913b67f7c8… entry 0.230
0xa6306a4dc9… entry 0.290 timing 0.99
0x2d862d0ae6… entry 0.230 timing 1.00
0x53c099f2ed… entry 0.220
0x8b8fc4a0fe… entry 0.239 timing 0.99
0xeb9947a1c0… entry 0.298 timing 0.37
0xf626735a5a… entry 0.240 timing 0.99
0xa5fd5cc8be… entry 0.190 timing 0.48
0x6687e2d381… entry 0.280 timing 0.95
0xecc0e46c02… entry 0.280 timing 0.97
0x09293493ee… entry 0.196 timing 0.51
0x6bf8154a29… entry 0.099 timing 0.96
0xbf52f05ba9… entry 0.240 timing 0.97
0x08c4b6f69d… entry 0.210 timing 0.40
0x8747b86672… entry 0.220 timing 0.52
0xe182afe6d9… entry 0.210 timing 0.37
0xbe48dca9ed… entry 0.140 timing 0.43
0xf2ee332a87… entry 0.238 timing 0.38

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0xd38b…5029

0xd38b71f3e8ed1af71983e5c309eac3dfa9b35029

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 6.52 and disposition ratio 0.74, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 66.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

∞

Realized PnL

∞

Win rate

N/A

98%

ROI

N/A

112%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.124

Markets

549

Best day

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

65.25

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$30.7k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$15.6k

Payoff ratio

N/A

1.63

Largest win

N/A

$312k

Largest loss

N/A

$-81.6k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$65.2k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

∞

0.112

Calmar

5.390

Drawdown duration (days)

195.5

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

Concentration top-5

N/A

14%

Concentration top-10

N/A

23%

Max win streak

N/A

176

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

2121

Unique markets

549

Active days ratio

N/A

54%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.431

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.005

Maker share (notional)

N/A

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

5.8

Holding time median (h)

N/A

5.2

Max concurrent

N/A

533

Disposition ratio

N/A

0.74

Add-to-winner share

N/A

49%

Average-down share

N/A

24%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

97%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.2608

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.2667

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.854

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$-0

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

-0.0%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0703

Alpha ($)

$-272

Alpha ROI gap

-5.9%

Contrarian score

-0.192

Post-fill drift

0.0304

Post-fill candles (mean)

6.0

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%

Scalper: 65.6%

News Sniper: 59.3%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%

Contrarian Fader: 32.5%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 5.02e-15; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x913b67f7c8… entry 0.230
0xa6306a4dc9… entry 0.290 timing 0.99
0x2d862d0ae6… entry 0.230 timing 1.00
0x53c099f2ed… entry 0.220
0x8b8fc4a0fe… entry 0.239 timing 0.99
0xeb9947a1c0… entry 0.298 timing 0.37
0xf626735a5a… entry 0.240 timing 0.99
0xa5fd5cc8be… entry 0.190 timing 0.48
0x6687e2d381… entry 0.280 timing 0.95
0xecc0e46c02… entry 0.280 timing 0.97
0x09293493ee… entry 0.196 timing 0.51
0x6bf8154a29… entry 0.099 timing 0.96
0xbf52f05ba9… entry 0.240 timing 0.97
0x08c4b6f69d… entry 0.210 timing 0.40
0x8747b86672… entry 0.220 timing 0.52
0xe182afe6d9… entry 0.210 timing 0.37
0xbe48dca9ed… entry 0.140 timing 0.43
0xf2ee332a87… entry 0.238 timing 0.38

Sports	$8.74M	98%	285
NFL Playoffs	$55.9k	100%	1
uncategorized	$6.91k	100%	1

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x68730687…	$312k	$288k	108.3%
0xeb9947a1…	$250k	$106k	235.1%
0x53a21ee0…	$244k	$226k	108.3%
0x08c4b6f6…	$222k	$59k	376.2%
0xa6306a4d…	$211k	$86.2k	244.8%
0x386c70eb…	$193k	$278k	69.5%
0x09293493…	$181k	$44.1k	410.5%
0xb5a812ae…	$170k	$182k	93.6%
0x49afdc20…	$161k	$38.5k	418.3%
0xe182afe6…	$150k	$39.8k	376.2%
0x1d49e845…	$144k	$118k	122.2%
0x61cf5315…	$134k	$66k	203.0%
0x8747b866…	$125k	$35.2k	354.5%
0x913b67f7…	$123k	$36.8k	334.8%
0xb5d145ef…	$121k	$94.7k	127.9%

0xd38b…5029

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xd38b…5029

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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Day of week (UTC)

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