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0xd202bf6d89dc6bab1b9f00ead175f75466348973
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 6.61 and disposition ratio 0.08, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 536.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:51:18 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $102k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $39.7k | $-43.7k | $74.8k | $217k |
| Win rate | 57% | 44% | 49% | 47% |
| ROI | 77% | -10% | 3% | 3% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.236 | 0.173 | 0.090 |
| Markets | 10 | 64 | 183 | 763 |
| Best day | $-139 | $17.4k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 3.88 | 0.83 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Mean trade PnL | $5.68k | $-705 | $409 | $285 |
| Median trade PnL | $896 | $-770 | $-0 | $-373 |
| Payoff ratio | 2.91 | 1.04 | 1.11 | 1.21 |
| Largest win | $32.1k | $35.9k | $67.1k | $67.1k |
| Largest loss | $-6.65k | $-71.8k | $-76.9k | $-76.9k |
| Expectancy | $5.68k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $23.3k | $34.7k | $31.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.179 | 0.159 | 0.086 |
| Calmar | 1.160 | 1.160 | 1.160 | 1.160 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 47.5 | 47.5 | 47.5 | 47.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 48% | 15% | 4% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 94% | 38% | 16% | 5% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 54% | 27% | 9% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 107 | 724 | 9017 | 23797 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 64 | 183 | 763 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 101% |
| Avg entry price | 0.506 | 0.441 | 0.460 | 0.457 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.174 | 0.049 | 0.015 | 0.003 |
| Maker share (notional) | 38% | 39% | 60% | 57% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 6 | 48 | 101 | 409 |
| Disposition ratio | 45.16 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 17% | 27% | 52% |
| Tilt ratio | 10.03 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 67% | 77% | 55% | 54% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2460 | 0.2465 | 0.2142 | 0.2186 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2477 | 0.2249 | 0.2297 | 0.2179 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.845 | 0.762 | 0.903 | 0.902 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-2 | $-243 | $-61 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -0.8% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0408 | -0.0408 | -0.0408 | -0.0408 |
| Alpha ($) | $-596 | $-596 | $-596 | $-596 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -25.3% | -25.3% | -25.3% | -25.3% |
| Contrarian score | 0.196 | 0.196 | 0.196 | 0.196 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0263 | -0.0263 | -0.0263 | -0.0263 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 3.35e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $59.9k |
| $64.7k |
| Worst day | $-139 | $-44.4k | $-90.7k | $-90.7k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-705 |
| $409 |
| $285 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 50% | 27% | 34% | 29% | 19% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 50% | 57% | 49% | 50% | 61% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 50% | 76% | 67% | 17% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 2% |
| 0% |
| 1% |
| 0% |
| Spread capture | 0.0037 | 0.0012 | -0.0007 | 0.0053 |
| Inventory turnover | 107.00 | 724.00 | 9017.00 | 23797.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.01 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.02 |
| Avg ticket | $490 | $603 | $260 | $310 |
| Median ticket | $36 | $22 | $3 | $3 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -520.50 | 45.77 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.74 |
| 10.25 |
| 6.61 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $346k | 55% | 309 |
| Esports | $-188k | 41% | 443 |
| Soccer | $60.9k | 100% | 1 |
| Tennis | $-1.22k | 0% | 1 |
| Economy | $-3 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x83d646ac… | $-76.9k | $76.9k | -100.0% |
| 0x776956c5… | $-71.8k | $71.8k | -100.0% |
| 0x5e2a2315… | $67.1k | $37.7k | 177.8% |
| 0xe70fd51f… | $-64.1k | $64.1k | -100.0% |
| 0x94e50623… | $62.9k | $66.8k | 94.2% |
| 0x1f5cd4d1… | $-61.3k | $61.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x6e9f90a6… | $60.9k | $68.6k | 88.7% |
| 0x1d57ae7d… | $-58k | $58k | -100.0% |
| 0x32552863… | $57.2k | $52.4k | 109.1% |
| 0x801789fd… | $49.6k | $57k | 87.0% |
| 0xc6f7e4a0… | $42.4k | $44.1k | 96.1% |
| 0xd1b44514… | $40.7k | $37.4k | 108.7% |
| 0x3f83a2cc… | $39.2k | $44.2k | 88.7% |
| 0xc08fcbc2… | $37.5k | $40.6k | 92.3% |
| 0x30d49ac0… | $37.4k | $43.9k | 85.2% |
| 568 |
| 568 |
| 568 |
| 568 |