0xd189…06f4

0xd189664c5308903476f9f079820431e4fd7d06f4

News SniperGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 0 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.98 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 0.0 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 14:23:24 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$760k

Open PnL

$-61

Max drawdown

$9.36k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

sharpe:30d

#21new

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$760k
Realized PnL	$-2.63k	$12.7k	$50.2k	$108k
Win rate	46%	51%	49%	51%
ROI	-13%	2%	1%	1%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	1.309	1.098	0.510
Markets	44	406	1551	3817
Best day	$327	$3.76k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	0.61	1.09	1.03	1.06
Mean trade PnL	$-45	$18	$19	$23
Median trade PnL	$-6	$2	$-2	$2
Payoff ratio	0.72	1.05	1.06	1.02
Largest win	$865	$55k	$266k	$266k
Largest loss	$-3.64k	$-55k	$-130k	$-130k
Expectancy	$-45

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$1.34k	$1.51k	$2.49k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.478
Calmar	81.192	81.192	81.192	81.192
Drawdown duration (days)	19.0	19.0	19.0	19.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	34%	25%	8%	8%
Concentration top-5	62%	65%	27%	25%
Concentration top-10	77%	68%	50%	45%
Max win streak	2	5	6	11
Max loss streak	6	6	6	22

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	442	6304	24719	69000
Unique markets	44	406	1551	3817
Active days ratio	200%	114%	103%	101%
Avg entry price	0.535	0.563	0.282	0.550
Portfolio HHI	0.269	0.018	0.065	0.015
Maker share (notional)	48%	55%	70%	67%
Two-sided share	73%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
Holding time median (h)	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Max concurrent	34	328	1134	2509
Disposition ratio	0.47	0.75	0.75	0.81
Add-to-winner share	56%	59%	49%	54%
Average-down share	44%	41%	37%	35%
Tilt ratio	1.17

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	64%	64%	58%	53%
Brier (weighted)	0.0810	0.1840	0.1565	0.1047
Brier (unweighted)	0.1728	0.1535	0.1439	0.1270
Entry timing mean	0.999	0.998	0.999	0.983
Exit quality ($)	$-71	$43	$-247	$-142
Exit quality ROI gap	-3.9%	10.9%	20.1%	60.2%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0315	-0.0315	-0.0315	-0.0315
Alpha ($)	$-965	$-965	$-965	$-965
Alpha ROI gap	21.3%	21.3%	21.3%	21.3%
Contrarian score	-0.597	-0.597	-0.597	-0.597
Post-fill drift	-0.0004	-0.0004	-0.0004	-0.0004
Post-fill candles (mean)	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 58.9%
Scalper: 57.0%
Contrarian Fader: 55.7%
Tilted Gambler: 48.7%
Favorite Grinder: 46.8%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.52e-17; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xacd4b05241… entry 0.019 timing 1.00
0x0602a24df3… entry 0.146 timing 1.00
0x3b04cadc42… entry 0.280 timing 1.00
0xe547f2492f… entry 0.010 timing 1.00
0x3273eb13ea… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
0xfcf6c4bdc7… entry 0.230 timing 1.00
0xd356dd2f7c… entry 0.160 timing 1.00
0xb87c497b9b… entry 0.222 timing 1.00
0xe0be1b32c2… entry 0.110 timing 1.00
0xde228bfdd3… entry 0.065 timing 1.00
0x185a36013b… entry 0.010 timing 1.00
0xf334442bdf… entry 0.108 timing 1.00

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0xd189…06f4

0xd189664c5308903476f9f079820431e4fd7d06f4

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 0 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.98 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 0.0 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$760k

Realized PnL

$-2.63k

$12.7k

$50.2k

$108k

Win rate

46%

51%

49%

51%

ROI

-13%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

1.309

1.098

0.510

Markets

406

1551

3817

Best day

$327

$3.76k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

0.61

1.09

1.03

1.06

Mean trade PnL

$-45

$18

$19

$23

Median trade PnL

$-6

$-2

Payoff ratio

0.72

1.05

1.06

1.02

Largest win

$865

$55k

$266k

Largest loss

$-3.64k

$-55k

$-130k

Expectancy

$-45

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$1.34k

$1.51k

$2.49k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.478

Calmar

81.192

Drawdown duration (days)

19.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

34%

25%

Concentration top-5

62%

65%

27%

25%

Concentration top-10

77%

68%

50%

45%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

442

6304

24719

69000

Unique markets

406

1551

3817

Active days ratio

200%

114%

103%

101%

Avg entry price

0.535

0.563

0.282

0.550

Portfolio HHI

0.269

0.018

0.065

0.015

Maker share (notional)

48%

55%

70%

67%

Two-sided share

73%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

0.0

0.2

Holding time median (h)

0.0

Max concurrent

328

1134

2509

Disposition ratio

0.47

0.75

0.81

Add-to-winner share

56%

59%

49%

54%

Average-down share

44%

41%

37%

35%

Tilt ratio

1.17

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

64%

58%

53%

Brier (weighted)

0.0810

0.1840

0.1565

0.1047

Brier (unweighted)

0.1728

0.1535

0.1439

0.1270

Entry timing mean

0.999

0.998

0.999

0.983

Exit quality ($)

$-71

$43

$-247

$-142

Exit quality ROI gap

-3.9%

10.9%

20.1%

60.2%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0315

Alpha ($)

$-965

Alpha ROI gap

21.3%

Contrarian score

-0.597

Post-fill drift

-0.0004

Post-fill candles (mean)

2.0

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 58.9%

Scalper: 57.0%

Contrarian Fader: 55.7%

Tilted Gambler: 48.7%

Favorite Grinder: 46.8%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 3.52e-17; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xacd4b05241… entry 0.019 timing 1.00
0x0602a24df3… entry 0.146 timing 1.00
0x3b04cadc42… entry 0.280 timing 1.00
0xe547f2492f… entry 0.010 timing 1.00
0x3273eb13ea… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
0xfcf6c4bdc7… entry 0.230 timing 1.00
0xd356dd2f7c… entry 0.160 timing 1.00
0xb87c497b9b… entry 0.222 timing 1.00
0xe0be1b32c2… entry 0.110 timing 1.00
0xde228bfdd3… entry 0.065 timing 1.00
0x185a36013b… entry 0.010 timing 1.00
0xf334442bdf… entry 0.108 timing 1.00

Up or Down	$89.1k	51%	4427
Crypto	$16.6k	80%	55
Sports	$-9.31k	56%	116
2026 FIFA World Cup	$5.61k	100%	1
Big Tech	$3.08k	100%	4
Economy	$2.13k	100%	1
Iran	$923	60%	5
Weather	$-249	29%	21
Soccer	$223	100%	1
Politics	$180	100%	1
uncategorized	$135	60%	10
Bitcoin	$44	50%	2

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x889e0fa1…	$266k	$133k	199.8%
0x43bde2aa…	$148k	$223k	66.3%
0x914abe14…	$145k	$72.7k	200.0%
0xe43caeee…	$140k	$85k	164.8%
0xdbbbbd6e…	$139k	$82.3k	168.5%
0x1525f6e3…	$-133k	$300k	-44.4%
0x9c183f63…	$-133k	$386k	-34.5%
0x826887e3…	$113k	$56.6k	200.2%
0x08ac1bbc…	$80k	$40k	199.8%
0xd23b4810…	$-73.6k	$223k	-33.1%
0x0ea55d01…	$-73.6k	$74.2k	-99.2%
0xadf4acda…	$73.3k	$165k	44.4%
0x8b10bf2e…	$-72.7k	$218k	-33.3%
0x95f726bb…	$-72.4k	$218k	-33.2%
0xeb348b65…	$-69.8k	$210k	-33.2%

0xd189…06f4

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xd189…06f4

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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Day of week (UTC)

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