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0xd106…c79c · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xd106…c79c
0xd106952ebf30a3125affd8a23b6c1f30c35fc79c
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Contrarian Fader because fills lean against recent price moves and it averages down.
Contrarian score is -0.38 (negative = buying against recent moves) with average-down share 40%.
Holds stretch longer (median 5.9 hours) while waiting for reversion.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:51:00 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $54.3k | $666k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $67.8k | $161k | $2.01M |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 54% | 53% |
| ROI | N/A | 88% | 20% | 5% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.288 | 0.316 | 0.069 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 278 | 1138 |
| Best day | $50 | $131 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 1.52 | 1.12 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $2.26k | $339 | $212 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $2.25k | $105 | $29 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 1.32 | 1.00 |
| Largest win | N/A | $4.11k | $8.89k | $80.5k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-10.9k | $-90.8k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $347 | $8.58k | $54.2k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.162 | 0.382 | 0.070 |
| Calmar | 1.898 | 1.898 | 1.898 | 1.898 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 56.0 | 56.0 | 56.0 | 56.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 6% | 2% | 0% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 25% | 6% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 45% | 11% | 3% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 30 | 35 | 35 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 6 | 10 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 5460 | 23632 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 278 | 1138 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | 105% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | 0.515 | 0.511 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | 0.005 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | 29% | 67% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 6.9 | 6.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 6.0 | 5.9 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | 267 | 615 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 1.02 | 1.03 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 58% | 56% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 39% | 40% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 86% | 48% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.2163 | 0.2379 | 0.2156 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.2264 | 0.2405 | 0.2387 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.459 | 0.518 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1033 | -0.1033 | -0.1033 | -0.1033 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | -0.383 | -0.383 | -0.383 | -0.383 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0061 | 0.0061 | 0.0061 | 0.0061 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Post-fill observations | 579 |
Archetype scores
- Contrarian Fader: 52.2%
- Scalper: 47.6%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.3%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 29.6%
- News Sniper: 27.2%
| Worst day | $50 | $-873 | $-12.4k | $-173k |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 54% | 53% | 61% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 73% | 72% | 30% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | -0.0021 | -0.0017 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | 5460.00 | 23632.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 0.00 | 1.05 | 0.11 |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | $56 | $55 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 29.00 | -338.27 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $2.01M | 53% | 9448 |
| Games | $-2.18k | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x99e70457… | $-83.9k | $93.8k | -89.4% |
| 0xea72df59… | $-83.7k | $84.5k | -99.0% |
| 0x976c4dae… | $-74.7k | $76.4k | -97.8% |
| 0x606c39e2… | $-73.7k | $82.2k | -89.7% |
| 0xa0da0105… | $70.2k | $53.7k | 130.8% |
| 0xd2771965… | $-63.9k | $64.9k | -98.4% |
| 0x22259c08… | $61k | $58.6k | 104.0% |
| 0x230ce01b… | $56.8k | $75.4k | 75.3% |
| 0x7aea2611… | $-55.7k | $60.6k | -91.9% |
| 0x8b13fb10… | $-54.8k | $77.9k | -70.4% |
| 0x03e38f4c… | $52.7k | $89.6k | 58.8% |
| 0x434719e5… | $-51.2k | $51.3k | -99.8% |
| 0x43f4ce77… | $-51.1k | $60.8k | -84.0% |
| 0x8246b715… | $-50.4k | $51.4k | -98.1% |
| 0xc495e735… | $50.4k | $42k | 120.0% |