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0xcf73…0215 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xcf73…0215
0xcf7379b4b891c06d88807f6f70efa75378120215
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 97% and two-sided activity is 49%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 4000.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (18%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:30:21 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $61.5k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $186k | $-132k | $-623k | $-623k |
| Win rate | 60% | 60% | 55% | 55% |
| ROI | 15% | -3% | -5% | -5% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.418 | 0.299 | 0.203 |
| Markets | 174 | 174 | 174 | 174 |
| Best day | $12.4k | $12.4k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.55 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.01k | $-143 | $-312 | $-312 |
| Median trade PnL | $59 | $17 | $6 | $6 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.02 | 0.62 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| Largest win | $122k | $122k | $122k | $122k |
| Largest loss | $-59.2k | $-123k | $-123k | $-123k |
| Expectancy | $1.01k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $5.72k | $6.9k | $3.21k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.686 | 0.297 | 0.202 |
| Calmar | 4.303 | 4.303 | 4.303 | 4.303 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 14% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| Concentration top-5 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 12% |
| Concentration top-10 | 58% | 41% | 20% | 20% |
| Max win streak | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| Max loss streak | 5 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 4000 | 4000 | 4000 | 4000 |
| Unique markets | 174 | 174 | 174 | 174 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 200% | 200% | 200% |
| Avg entry price | 0.615 | 0.615 | 0.615 | 0.615 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 |
| Maker share (notional) | 97% | 97% | 97% | 97% |
| Two-sided share | 49% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Max concurrent | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Add-to-winner share | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Average-down share | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Tilt ratio | 2.16 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1202 | 0.0936 | 0.0897 | 0.0897 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1681 | 0.1370 | 0.1310 | 0.1310 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.935 | 0.935 | 0.935 | 0.935 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-1.23k | $-1.04k | $-1.12k | $-1.12k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 89.7% | 92.1% | 202.9% | 202.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1983 | -0.1983 | -0.1983 | -0.1983 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | 0.290 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 0.290 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0168 | 0.0168 | 0.0168 | 0.0168 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Post-fill observations | 781 |
| Worst day | $12.4k | $-4.69k | $-17.6k | $-17.6k |
| Spread capture | -0.0233 | -0.0233 | -0.0233 | -0.0233 |
| Inventory turnover | 4000.00 | 4000.00 | 4000.00 | 4000.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.01 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Avg ticket | $310 | $310 | $310 | $310 |
| Median ticket | $44 | $44 | $44 | $44 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-625k | 55% | 1783 |
| Tennis | $1.88k | 58% | 213 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x79041c28… | $-123k | $252k | -48.9% |
| 0xff981ecb… | $122k | $6.93k | 1765.8% |
| 0x190729a0… | $-118k | $242k | -48.9% |
| 0xe41dc928… | $-61.3k | $124k | -49.5% |
| 0x14d0bc78… | $-59.2k | $120k | -49.2% |
| 0x51a26832… | $58.5k | $2.32k | 2527.9% |
| 0x46694f3b… | $-52.7k | $107k | -49.4% |
| 0xf62af500… | $-41.5k | $87k | -47.7% |
| 0x951ad5f6… | $-38.2k | $81.5k | -46.8% |
| 0x52bb88d8… | $-37.8k | $79.5k | -47.6% |
| 0xaad71a4d… | $-35.3k | $74.8k | -47.2% |
| 0x6acc7928… | $-34.8k | $71.6k | -48.6% |
| 0xb2f4d8bc… | $-31.4k | $64.4k | -48.8% |
| 0xf825831a… | $-28.8k | $61k | -47.2% |
| 0xe7e120ea… | $-28.3k | $57.1k | -49.6% |