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0xcf6c…7e66
0xcf6c5492124794394dd9eac46498a8babbe47e66
Secondary: Favorite Grinder
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 6000 with median hold 0.7 hours, maker share only 64%.
Capital velocity 0.1 and held-to-resolution 50% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Favorite Grinder, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:55:46 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$777k
Open PnL
$-2.64M
Max drawdown
$503k
Underwater days
228
Equity curve
Board ranks
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $97.2k | $364k | $764k |
| Realized PnL | $66.8k | $286k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | 83% | 80% | 84% | 80% |
| ROI | 30% | 30% | 30% | 18% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.267 | 0.279 | 0.052 |
| Markets | 19 | 86 | 281 | 281 |
| Best day | $-4.59k | $98k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 4.94 | 3.44 | 3.94 | 3.06 |
| Mean trade PnL | $3.71k | $4.34k | $5.16k | $2.31k |
| Median trade PnL | $3.28k | $2.44k | $1.97k | $353 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.99 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| Largest win | $20.2k | $51.5k | $100k | $152k |
| Largest loss | $-14.5k | $-48.1k | $-81.3k | $-84.7k |
| Expectancy | $3.71k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $59.1k | $64.2k | $26.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.068 | 0.262 | 0.296 | 0.054 |
| Calmar | 1.657 | 1.657 | 1.657 | 1.657 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 229.0 | 229.0 | 229.0 | 229.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 20% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 70% | 41% | 15% | 4% |
| Concentration top-10 | 92% | 59% | 26% | 7% |
| Max win streak | 7 | 13 | 29 | 38 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 310 | 2182 | 6000 | 6000 |
| Unique markets | 19 | 86 | 281 | 281 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 105% | 105% |
| Avg entry price | 0.613 | 0.597 | 0.587 | 0.587 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.180 | 0.037 | 0.011 | 0.011 |
| Maker share (notional) | 80% | 79% | 64% | 64% |
| Two-sided share | 21% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.3 | 1.2 | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Max concurrent | 6 | 32 | 151 | 151 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.18 | 1.98 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 69% | 52% | 52% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 28% | 36% | 36% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.75 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 20% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0923 | 0.1403 | 0.1266 | 0.0989 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2310 | 0.2145 | 0.1869 | 0.1508 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.771 | 0.471 | 0.435 | 0.435 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-64 | $-151 | $13 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.2% | -0.7% | 1.1% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1688 | -0.1688 | -0.1688 | -0.1688 |
| Alpha ($) | $411 | $411 | $411 | $411 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.126 | -0.126 | -0.126 | -0.126 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0979 | -0.0979 | -0.0979 | -0.0979 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 54.7%
- Favorite Grinder: 54.4%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 37.0%
- Contrarian Fader: 35.4%
- News Sniper: 31.7%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 8.83e-88; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x440262f88c… entry 0.250 timing 0.16
- 0x9f6c180ed7… entry 0.079 timing 0.98
- 0x0c4334e84e… entry 0.189 timing 0.25
- 0xee2eac71e2… entry 0.220 timing 0.24
- 0x81a9bf420a… entry 0.260
- 0xdac6e67bfc… entry 0.270
- 0x30d55d8124… entry 0.031
- 0x31cf9796dd… entry 0.240
- 0x5264e6b548… entry 0.245
- 0x8b9176d24a… entry 0.270
- 0x8ca4a2f457… entry 0.290
- 0x3dd7aeeb38… entry 0.280
- 0xf7b5c4d5f9… entry 0.180
- 0xe6990e0d30… entry 0.280
- 0x1a791b8f04… entry 0.270
- 0x90d0f0f57e… entry 0.051
- 0x4a160c5fa8… entry 0.200
- 0x3e166e94d3… entry 0.032
- 0x47a88a03c3… entry 0.297
- 0x0d8b13dc0a… entry 0.150