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0xcf0d7f69cf162918b33fc1ea7449583fa537132d
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Contrarian Fader because fills lean against recent price moves and it averages down.
Contrarian score is 0.06 (negative = buying against recent moves) with average-down share 85%.
Holds stretch longer (median 18.9 days) while waiting for reversion.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:29:58 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $883k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 68% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.031 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.36 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $5.35k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $197 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.11 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $509k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-139k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $20.9k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.023 | 0.023 | 0.023 | 0.019 |
| Calmar | 1.126 | 1.126 | 1.126 | 1.126 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 97.0 | 97.0 | 97.0 | 97.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 42% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 58% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6000 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 26% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.537 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.071 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 75% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 634.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 453.7 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 69 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17.42 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 85% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 65% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0938 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1076 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.768 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $146 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0033 | 0.0033 | 0.0033 | 0.0033 |
| Alpha ($) | $-15.2k | $-15.2k | $-15.2k | $-15.2k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -37.1% | -37.1% | -37.1% | -37.1% |
| Contrarian score | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0017 | 0.0017 | 0.0017 | 0.0017 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 5.42e-6; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $0 |
| $303k |
| Worst day | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-309k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| N/A |
| $5.35k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 7% |
| 3% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 51% | 14% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 71% | 14% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 88% | 37% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 90% | 31% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 13% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0584 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 6000.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.63 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $743 |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $22 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -6.88 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | N/A | 29 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0.81 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Politics | $542k | 70% | 67 |
| US Election | $475k | 100% | 2 |
| USA Election | $-228k | 52% | 21 |
| Global Elections | $187k | 57% | 7 |
| potusbanner | $-113k | 0% | 2 |
| State Presidential Election | $93.1k | 77% | 13 |
| senates | $81.4k | 100% | 2 |
| u.s. election | $54.9k | 67% | 3 |
| Trump | $49.7k | 100% | 3 |
| Joe Biden | $-42.2k | 0% | 1 |
| German Election | $30k | 67% | 21 |
| elections 2024 | $25.2k | 100% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x37e6c122… | $509k | $73.8k | 689.3% |
| 0x265366ed… | $283k | $167k | 169.8% |
| 0xcd1b6b71… | $192k | $118k | 162.8% |
| 0xb3c778bc… | $-139k | $166k | -84.0% |
| 0x1e7a237f… | $-134k | $168k | -79.3% |
| 0x5ce0d897… | $121k | $171k | 70.7% |
| 0xc6485bb7… | $-96.7k | $174k | -55.4% |
| 0xd009ac14… | $92.8k | $77.7k | 119.4% |
| 0x6220c416… | $88.9k | $338k | 26.3% |
| 0x96261dae… | $65.7k | $54.4k | 120.8% |
| 0xac7162f9… | $60.1k | $278k | 21.6% |
| 0x26ed2c7b… | $59.7k | $266k | 22.5% |
| 0x546ec332… | $48.7k | $26.2k | 185.8% |
| 0xe2a92621… | $45.6k | $214k | 21.3% |
| 0x0e85e943… | $-42.2k | $44.3k | -95.3% |
| 3837 |
| 3837 |
| 3837 |
| 3837 |